Newsquawk

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  • APAC stocks were mixed with the region cautious after the weak handover from the US where risk appetite was clouded amid debt ceiling concerns.
  • The meeting between Biden and congressional leaders achieved no major breakthroughs although was said to be productive and has set the stage to carry on further conversations.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat...
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  • European bourses are relatively contained, but off best after downbeat/mixed ZEW
  • US futures spent the morning rangebound though have similarly dipped post-HD earnings, -4% pre-market
  • President Biden is to meet McCarthy at 15:00ET/20:00BST, Yellen to speak beforehand
  • DXY continues to retreat despite initial fleeting upside with G10s firmer, GBP picks up after weak labour data
  • AUD, Yuan and base metals are dented by...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed and only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, while markets also digested weaker-than-expected Chinese activity data.
  • US President Biden has scheduled a debt limit meeting with US House Speaker McCarthy on Tuesday at 15:00EDT/20:00BST.
  • European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat yesterday.
  • DXY is steady below 102.50, EUR/USD...
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  • European bourses & US futures are firmer but with magnitudes modest amid limited specific newsflow
  • DXY dips below 102.50 with its initial upside diminishing as peers are generally firmer ex-JPY while core debt drifts
  • US President Biden said that debt ceiling talks are moving along and they will know more in the next couple of days about progress in discussions.
  • SEK and TRY depreciate after soft inflation & inconclusive Turkish...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued performance last Friday on Wall St, while participants in the region brace for this week’s key economic releases.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.2% on Friday.
  • DXY sits near Friday's highs, JPY lags the majors, antipodeans outperform, EUR/USD remains on a 1.08 handle.
  • US President Biden said that...
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  • MON: Eurogroup Meeting, South Korean Trade Balance R (Apr), German Wholesale Prices (Apr), EZ Industrial Production (Mar).
  • TUE: IEA OMR, Chinese Retail Sales (Apr)/Industrial Production (Apr), UK Labour Market Report (Mar/Apr), EZ Employment and GDP Flash (Q1), German ZEW (May), US Retail Sales (Apr), Canadian CPI (Apr), US Industrial Production (Apr).
  • WED: Japanese GDP (Q1), Australian Wage Price Index (Q1), EZ CPI Final...
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  • European bourses are firmer though the region is set to end the week where it began, US futures modestly bid.
  • DXY underpinned vs most G10s with USTs slightly softer and Fed's Bowman saying recent CPI and NFP reports do not provide persistent evidence of disinflation.
  • EGBs have struggled for firm direction but are veering lower after hitting WTD peaks on Thursday.
  • Crude has lifted off initial lows to trade flat with macro news limited as we...
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  • The meeting between US President Biden and congressional leaders was postponed to next week.
  • US House Speaker McCarthy said postponing the debt ceiling meeting doesn't mean that debt talks have fallen apart.
  • APAC stocks were mostly lower amid a busy slate of earnings releases and after the subdued performance stateside.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed...
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  • European bourses are firmer, but off best, with fresh drivers lacking after a busy pre-market ahead of the BoE
  • Stateside, futures retain a positive bias but have been largely horizontal; DIS -5.5% after-earnings
  • DXY lifts towards 102.00 with AUD lagging on Yuan/metals weakness after benign Chinese CPI/PPI
  • Somewhat volatile EGB trade with Bunds bolstered by a 9k block but then slipping to lows with drivers slim
  • Crude...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed after the indecisive performance stateside where stocks whipsawed, while regional bourses also reflected on softer-than-expected Chinese inflation.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.
  • DXY lingers around 101.50 with price action in FX markets broadly contained, Cable maintains 1.26 status ahead of the BoE.
  • Fed...
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  • European bourses/US futures are slightly softer as broader sentiment tilts after mixed APAC trade ahead of US CPI
  • DXY remains bid with peers generally contained though EUR slips on less-hawkish ECB speak while GBP remains bid pre-BoE
  • EGBs caught a bid to fresh session highs after well-received UK supply and ECB's Lagarde on APP/PEPP
  • Overall, commodities are pressured and in-fitting with the above; focus on China-Australia re. Copper and the...
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Expectations are for the BoE to deliver a 25 basis points hike in the Base Rate to 4.5%, according to 55 out of 56 analysts surveyed by Reuters. Market pricing concurs, with 25 basis points priced at around 85%. Dovish dissent from Tenreyro and Dhingra is expected once again...

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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region digested a slew of earnings updates and following the weak handover from Wall St.
  • There was a lack of progress in debt limit negotiations although President Biden will meet with congressional leaders again this Friday.
  • Fed's Williams said the FOMC will raise rates again if needed and he doesn't see any reason to cut rates this year.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher...
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  • European bourses & US futures are softer as the region struggles for a foothold after mixed APAC trade and ahead of Fed/debt ceiling events
  • USD picks up against peers ex-JPY as yields ease from best while AUD retreats after Chinese imports declined unexpectedly
  • Yellen reiterates the Treasury could run out of cash as soon as June 1st, with the Bipartisan centre expecting the x-date between early-June to August
  • Fixed benchmarks have been...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed following the indecisive performance on Wall St where the focus was on the Fed’s SLOOS
  • The report showed that banks tightened credit terms and demand for loans declined.
  • Chinese trade figures showed stronger-than-expected export growth but imports disappointed with a surprise contraction.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed up...
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  • European bourses are firmer across the board, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1%, though trade has been very contained/steady with the UK away.
  • Stateside, the narrative is much the same with futures flat ahead of key Fed-related events and the focus thus far on BRK.B and debt ceiling.
  • Biden to meet McCarthy & others on Tuesday re. debt limit, via FT; said he would not rule out invoking the 14th amendment
  • DXY is softer and edging towards 101.00 with...
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  • APAC stocks mostly gained as the region took impetus from Friday's rally on Wall St and strong US jobs data.
  • Fed's Bullard (non-voter) said he thinks the Fed will ultimately have to grind higher on rates because of forecasts for a slower decline in inflation than others.
  • US President Biden is to meet with House Speaker McCarthy and other top congressional leaders on Tuesday regarding the debt limit crisis, according to FT.
  • European equity...
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Week Ahead May 8-12th

  • MON: UK Bank Holiday, EZ Sentix Index (May), German Final CPI (Apr), Fed SLOOS
  • TUE: Riksbank Minutes, NBH Announcement, EIA STEO, Chinese Trade Balance (Apr)
  • WED: Norwegian CPI (Apr), US CPI (Apr)
  • THU: BoE Announcement, BoJ Summary of Opinions, OPEC MOMR, Chinese Inflation (Apr), US PPI (Apr)
  • FRI: New Zealand Inflation Forecasts (Q2), UK GDP (Mar/Q1), French CPI...
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  • European bourses and US futures are firmer despite the mixed APAC session as participants await NFP
  • Within this, DAX 40 outperformers aided by German electricity adjustments and strong Adidas earnings.
  • ABA is urging the SEC to investigate short-selling activity while the White House is hopeful on avoiding a debt default.
  • AUD outperforms after hawkish-SOMP while CHF lags post-CPI; USD is softer but relatively...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed after the weak lead from the US where risk sentiment was subdued by banking-related headwinds.
  • US federal and state officials are reportedly assessing possible market manipulation regarding banking shares.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.5% after the cash market closed down 0.5% yesterday.
  • Sources revealed ECB policymakers agreed to a smaller rate increase in return...
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  • European bourses are pressured following the subdued APAC/US handover, stateside performance is currently mixed/rangebound with a focus on regional banks/earnings.
  • DXY nears 101.50 from a 101.02 base as the Euro failed to eclipse 1.11 with peers contained ex-out/underperformance in NZD and CHF
  • Crude benchmarks are firmer after an initial marked slump overnight; Shell says they are nearing 2019 levels of oil demand in China
  • UST yields...
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The consensus among analysts and market pricing is that the ECB will opt for a 25bps hike in the Deposit Rate to 3.25%. Policymakers have indicated that the options are between a 25bps and 50bps hike, with the aim of bringing inflation back to target. Considering the political nature of the...

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  • Fed delivered a 25bps hike and opened the door to a pause, although Powell was reluctant to officially call it one and pushed back on talk of rate cuts.
  • PacWest Bancorp (PACW) is said to weigh strategic options including a sale, according to Bloomberg.
  • APAC stocks were mixed in the aftermath of the FOMC which saw US stocks mostly decline post-Powell presser.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a marginally softer open with the Euro...
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  • European futures are on the front-foot with US futures in-fitting after Tuesday's regional banking pressure.
  • DXY continues to slip as USTs advance pre-FOMC, NZD leads while EUR and GBP eye 1.1050 and 1.2550.
  • Crude benchmarks came under marked pressure despite limited fresh catalysts as focus remains on the broader growth outlook.
  • "Several House GOP leadership sources said they would want to see the Senate pass a short-term debt-limit hike...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly negative following the losses on Wall St amid regional bank jitters which resulted in the regional banking ETF closing down by over 6%.
  • White House said they have the tools necessary to keep the banking system safe and the FDIC will continue to monitor the banking situation.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.5% after the cash market closed lower by 1.5%...
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