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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower with the region cautious after the losses on Wall St owing to debt ceiling fears, whilst Fitch placed the US on Credit Watch Negative.
  • Nasdaq futures surged as NVIDIA (NVDA) shares rallied almost 25% after the close as earnings and forecasts beat expectations
  • The FOMC May minutes were in fitting with recent Fed commentary and showed that officials were somewhat split on support for more rate hikes
  • European...
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  • European bourses are under marked pressure as headwinds mount while US futures are lower but more contained awaiting debt ceiling developments
  • Overall, updates via journalists this morning are skewed to the downside on a near-term agreement
  • Hawkish impulses were seen on hot UK CPI, with core fixed income pressured & BoE pricing lifting
  • Though, Bunds & USTs have reverted back to modest positive territory as focus returns to potential...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower following the negative lead from Wall St and amid US-China frictions.
  • The US House China Select Committee Chair called for retaliation against China’s ban on Micron.
  • US GOP Rep. McHenry said the top-line disagreement remains on spending and he cannot say when negotiations will resume.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.4% after the cash market closed down by 1.0%...
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  • RBNZ expected to hike the Official Cash Rate by 25bps to 5.50% on Wednesday as forecast by 21 out of 25...
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  • European bourses are pressured on continuing Manufacturing PMI softness alongside hawkish pricing implications
  • Stateside, futures are essentially flat as we await further substantive debt ceiling updates and remarks from Fed’s Powell
  • Biden said he is optimistic on making debt ceiling progress; McCarthy described the meeting as a productive discussion
  • DXY is underpinned and benefitting further from EUR & GBP weakness post-PMIs while the...
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  • APAC stocks were indecisive as participants digested the latest from the debt limit negotiations.
  • US House Speaker McCarthy said he had a productive agreement with President Biden but they don't have an agreement yet.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 Unch. after the cash market closed down by 0.2% yesterday.
  • DXY is steady on a 103 handle, FX ranges are narrow across G10 FX, EUR/USD lingers just...
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  • European bourses are mixed/flat with US futures diverging slightly with the ES & NQ pressured by Meta and Micron.
  • Broader focus remains firmly on the debt ceiling after constructive weekend updates ahead of an expected Biden-McCarthy talk today (time TBC).
  • DXY holds above 103.00 with the CHF outperforming and peers otherwise generally contained
  • EGBs remain bid with the periphery outperforming after Greek elections and rating updates for...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive but with price action rangebound amid cautiousness as the debt limit deadline draws closer.
  • President Biden said his discussion with House Speaker McCarthy on Sunday went well and they will talk again on Monday.
  • Fed’s Kashkari (voter) said he is open to foregoing a June rate hike but would object to any kind of declaration that they are done lifting rates.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open...
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Week Ahead May 22-26th

  • SUN: Greek Elections
  • MON: PBoC LPR Announcement
  • TUE: BoK Announcement, EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (May), US Richmond Fed (May)
  • WED: FOMC Minutes, RBNZ Announcement, UK Inflation (Apr), German Ifo Survey (May)
  • THU: CBRT Announcement, SARB Announcement, German GDP (Q1), GfK Consumer Sentiment (Jun), US GDP 2nd (Q1)/PCE Prices (Q1)
  • FRI: Japanese...
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  • European bourses/US futures are firmer with fresh drivers limited and the focus firmly on Fed speak
  • Debt ceiling reports indicate steady progress is being made, a view echoed by White House officials; Biden to leave G7 dinner early
  • USD retreats from multi-weak peaks amid a Yuan revival to the benefit of G10s pre-Powell
  • EGBs have seen two-way action but are holding off early German PPI-induced lows, USTs comparably more...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly higher following the tech-led gains on Wall St where the Nasdaq outperformed and the S&P 500 printed a 9-month high.
  • US President Biden held a call with the debt ceiling negotiation team and his team said that steady progress is being made in talks.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed up 1.0% yesterday.
  • DXY sits above the 103.50 mark...
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  • European bourses continue the positive Wall St/APAC action, with action slightly limited by Ascension Day
  • Stateside, futures edge into the green but are largely continuing sideways action ahead of WMT and substantive debt updates
  • DXY picks up to the detriment of peers as the Yuan falls further and AUD lags on jobs data
  • EGBs descend further with yield levels in focus while USTs are more contained pre-data/Fed...
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  • APAC stocks were higher as the region took its cue from the momentum on Wall Street, although some of the gains were capped as participants digested soft data releases.
  • US House Speaker McCarthy said he is optimistic about the ability to work together and said a debt ceiling deal by Sunday is doable.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.7% after the cash market closed up 0.2% yesterday.
  • DXY sits...
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  • European bourses & US futures are incrementally firmer in somewhat limited trade with corporate updates factoring and the focus on debt talks
  • DAX 40 outperforms amid strength in Siemens & SAP; region follows mixed APAC trade, though Nikkei 225 surpassed 30k
  • Overall, debt ceiling updates were slightly constructive, but the impasse does ultimately remain
  • DXY briefly topped 103.00 as the Yuan continues to slip on soft data to the...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed with the region cautious after the weak handover from the US where risk appetite was clouded amid debt ceiling concerns.
  • The meeting between Biden and congressional leaders achieved no major breakthroughs although was said to be productive and has set the stage to carry on further conversations.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat...
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  • European bourses are relatively contained, but off best after downbeat/mixed ZEW
  • US futures spent the morning rangebound though have similarly dipped post-HD earnings, -4% pre-market
  • President Biden is to meet McCarthy at 15:00ET/20:00BST, Yellen to speak beforehand
  • DXY continues to retreat despite initial fleeting upside with G10s firmer, GBP picks up after weak labour data
  • AUD, Yuan and base metals are dented by...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed and only partially sustained the momentum from Wall St, while markets also digested weaker-than-expected Chinese activity data.
  • US President Biden has scheduled a debt limit meeting with US House Speaker McCarthy on Tuesday at 15:00EDT/20:00BST.
  • European equity futures are indicative of an uneventful open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed flat yesterday.
  • DXY is steady below 102.50, EUR/USD...
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  • European bourses & US futures are firmer but with magnitudes modest amid limited specific newsflow
  • DXY dips below 102.50 with its initial upside diminishing as peers are generally firmer ex-JPY while core debt drifts
  • US President Biden said that debt ceiling talks are moving along and they will know more in the next couple of days about progress in discussions.
  • SEK and TRY depreciate after soft inflation & inconclusive Turkish...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed following the subdued performance last Friday on Wall St, while participants in the region brace for this week’s key economic releases.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.2% on Friday.
  • DXY sits near Friday's highs, JPY lags the majors, antipodeans outperform, EUR/USD remains on a 1.08 handle.
  • US President Biden said that...
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  • MON: Eurogroup Meeting, South Korean Trade Balance R (Apr), German Wholesale Prices (Apr), EZ Industrial Production (Mar).
  • TUE: IEA OMR, Chinese Retail Sales (Apr)/Industrial Production (Apr), UK Labour Market Report (Mar/Apr), EZ Employment and GDP Flash (Q1), German ZEW (May), US Retail Sales (Apr), Canadian CPI (Apr), US Industrial Production (Apr).
  • WED: Japanese GDP (Q1), Australian Wage Price Index (Q1), EZ CPI Final...
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  • European bourses are firmer though the region is set to end the week where it began, US futures modestly bid.
  • DXY underpinned vs most G10s with USTs slightly softer and Fed's Bowman saying recent CPI and NFP reports do not provide persistent evidence of disinflation.
  • EGBs have struggled for firm direction but are veering lower after hitting WTD peaks on Thursday.
  • Crude has lifted off initial lows to trade flat with macro news limited as we...
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  • The meeting between US President Biden and congressional leaders was postponed to next week.
  • US House Speaker McCarthy said postponing the debt ceiling meeting doesn't mean that debt talks have fallen apart.
  • APAC stocks were mostly lower amid a busy slate of earnings releases and after the subdued performance stateside.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed...
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  • European bourses are firmer, but off best, with fresh drivers lacking after a busy pre-market ahead of the BoE
  • Stateside, futures retain a positive bias but have been largely horizontal; DIS -5.5% after-earnings
  • DXY lifts towards 102.00 with AUD lagging on Yuan/metals weakness after benign Chinese CPI/PPI
  • Somewhat volatile EGB trade with Bunds bolstered by a 9k block but then slipping to lows with drivers slim
  • Crude...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed after the indecisive performance stateside where stocks whipsawed, while regional bourses also reflected on softer-than-expected Chinese inflation.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.
  • DXY lingers around 101.50 with price action in FX markets broadly contained, Cable maintains 1.26 status ahead of the BoE.
  • Fed...
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  • European bourses/US futures are slightly softer as broader sentiment tilts after mixed APAC trade ahead of US CPI
  • DXY remains bid with peers generally contained though EUR slips on less-hawkish ECB speak while GBP remains bid pre-BoE
  • EGBs caught a bid to fresh session highs after well-received UK supply and ECB's Lagarde on APP/PEPP
  • Overall, commodities are pressured and in-fitting with the above; focus on China-Australia re. Copper and the...
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