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  • European equities are mixed, with clear outperformance in the FTSE MIB, propped up by UniCredit (+8.7%) post-earnings; US equity futures are modestly softer, though the RTY underperforms
  • Dollar is firmer continuing Friday’s advances, which has been leading the EUR towards December lows.
  • Bonds are softer post-NFP and Chair Powell’s weekend commentary as attention turns to US ISM & other Fed speak
  • Crude futures are pressured by the firmer...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued after last Friday's red-hot jobs report; Chinese regulators pledged to stabilise the market.
  • Fed Chair Powell repeated his expectation that the March meeting is likely too soon to have confidence to start rate cuts.
  • European equity futures indicate a contained open with Euro Stoxx 50 future flat after the cash market closed up 0.3% on Friday.
  • DXY is contained around the 104 mark, EUR/USD is sub 1.08, USD/JPY...
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Week Ahead 5th-9th February

  • MON: Japanese Jibun Final Composite/Services PMI (Jan), Chinese Caixin Final Services PMI (Jan), German TradeBalance (Dec), EZ/UK/US Final Composite/Services PMI (Jan), US ISM Services PMI (Jan)
  • TUE: RBA Policy Announcement, EIA STEO, US Democratic Primary - Nevada, German Industrial Orders (Dec), EZ Construction PMI (Jan), EZ Retail Sales (Dec), New Zealand Unemployment (Q4)
  • WED: NBP Policy Announcement,...
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  • European equities are firmer taking impetus from gains on Wall Street; US equity futures are in the green, outperformance in the NQ post-earnings from Amazon (+6%) and Meta (+16.7%).
  • Dollar is around flat awaiting impetus from US NFP; Aussie outperforms recouping the prior day’s downside.
  • Bonds are softer giving back recent advances as attention turns to key US data
  • Crude is firmer and finds some reprieve after hefty losses in the prior...
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  • APAC stocks mostly took impetus from the gains on Wall St where stocks were underpinned amid a softer yield environment.
  • US equity futures were boosted after-hours following the big tech earnings (META +15%, AMZN +7%, AAPL -3%).
  • European equity futures indicate a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.8% after the cash market closed down 0.2% on Thursday.
  • DXY sits around the 103 mark, AUD is attempting to recoup lost ground,...
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  • European equities are mixed, whilst US equity futures are firmer to varying degrees
  • Dollar is marginally bid though off post-Powell highs; Aussie lags after weak building approvals data
  • Bonds are mixed; USTs modestly higher whilst Bunds pare yesterday’s dovish data
  • Crude is in the green pre-JMMC whilst base metals are lower across the board, in-fitting with the broader risk tone
  • Looking ahead, US IJC & ISM...
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  • The Fed kept rates unchanged and removed the reference to possible additional rate hikes but also downplayed near-term cuts.
  • APAC stocks were mixed after the losses on Wall St owing to banking sector fears and Fed Chair Powell's pushback against a March rate cut.
  • Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI data topped forecasts, China's Finance Ministry said it will implement structural tax cuts in 2024.
  • European equity futures indicate a steady...
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  • European bourses are lower with underperformance in the SMI post-Novartis earnings; US equity futures are mixed, though with clear underperformance in the NQ after MSFT, AMD & GOOG earnings
  • Dollar continues its contained trade, AUD underperforms amid softer CPI data
  • Bonds modestly firmer; Bunds off best levels post-German data
  • Crude is weaker amid the downbeat risk tone; XAU in a holding pattern awaiting impetus from the...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued amid a deluge of earnings releases and key data releases at month-end.
  • Alphabet (GOOG) slumped 5.8% after advertising revenue missed, while Microsoft (MSFT) fell by 0.3% after Q3 More Personal Computing was guided below forecasts. 
  • Hang Seng and Shanghai Comp underperformed following the latest Chinese PMI data in which Manufacturing PMI remained in contraction territory for a 4th consecutive...
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  • European equities are generally firmer, whilst US equity futures meander around the unchanged mark ahead of key earnings
  • Dollar is around flat whilst the Pound lags with specifics light
  • Bonds are firmer, though Bunds have been edging lower following hawkish EZ data
  • Crude benchmarks are marginally firmer alongside Gold, awaiting geopolitical updates
  • Looking ahead, US JOLTs, Consumer Confidence, Japanese Retail Sales,...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed as weakness in China offset the momentum from Wall St's record highs.
  • US Treasury expects to borrow USD 760bln in net marketable debt for the January-March period which is down USD 55bln from the October 2023 estimate.
  • European equity futures indicate a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after the cash market closed up 0.1% on Monday.
  • DXY is contained and continued to pivot around 103.50, EUR/USD remains on...
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  • European bourses are trading on a mixed footing and lack clear direction; US equity futures follow suit ahead of a busy week of risk events
  • Dollar continues to firm, EUR a touch softer and Antipodeans bid despite a flimsy risk tone
  • Bonds are bid amid dovish ECB speak as attention turns to US Treasury Financing Estimates
  • Crude is modestly firmer as geopols remain in focus; US said three troops were killed by an Iran-linked drone attack near...
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  • APAC stocks began the week mostly on the front foot, albeit with some of the gains capped by heightened geopolitical tensions and Chinese property sector concerns.
  • Three US troops were killed and dozens were injured from an aerial drone attack on US forces in northeastern Jordan near the Syrian border; US says attack linked to Iran.
  • European equity futures indicate a lower open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.2% after the cash market closed up 1.2% on...
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Week Ahead 29th January - 2nd February 2024

  • SUN: New Zealand Trade Balance
  • MON: Japanese Unemployment (Dec)
  • TUE: Israel Municipal Elections; Spanish Flash CPI (Jan), Swiss KOF (Jan), German Flash GDP (Q4), EZ Flash GDP (Q4), EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Dec), US Home Prices (Nov), JOLTS (Dec), Japanese Retail Sales (Dec)
  • WED: Australian CPI, FOMC & BCB Policy Announcements, BoJ SOO (Jan); Chinese NBS PMIS...
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  • European bourses are firmer, with significant outperformance in the CAC40 lifted by the Luxury sector, post-LVMH earnings
  • Dollar is around flat, EUR modestly firmer with price action contained ahead of US PCE
  • Bonds are modestly firmer and in proximity to yesterday’s highs
  • Crude benchmarks are pulling back marginally; base metals are a touch softer with specifics light
  • Looking ahead, US PCE, Earnings from American...
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  • APAC stocks failed to sustain the broad positive momentum from Wall St with the region mostly lower in quietened conditions and amid a lack of fresh drivers.
  • Tokyo inflation data showed the slowest pace of core inflation in Japan's capital area since March 2022.
  • FX markets are contained with the DXY sitting just above the 103.50 mark, USD/JPY was indecisive post-Tokyo CPI.
  • European equity futures indicate a flat open with Euro Stoxx 50...
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  • European bourses are generally weaker, with the exception of the AEX which benefits from ASML; US equity futures are mixed, with the RTY outperforming
  • Tesla (-7.9%) is significantly lower in the pre-market after its results missed, noting that 2024 vehicle growth will be lower than the prior year.
  • Dollar is marginally weaker, EUR flat and JPY marginally weaker
  • Bonds hold a bearish tone following yesterday's hot data and disappointing US 5yr...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive but with gains capped as markets digested a slew of earnings releases and the recent upside in global yields.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed up 2.2% on Wednesday.
  • DXY is back on a 103 handle, EUR/USD failed to sustain 1.09 status, USD/JPY has moved closer to 148.
  • Tesla Inc (TSLA) Q4 2023 (USD): Adj. EPS 0.71 (exp. 0.74),...
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  • European equities are on a very strong footing following Chinese RRR cuts, with Tech also doing much of the hefty lifting; US equity futures are firmer, with NQ outperforming
  • NFLX +9.7% pre-market; SAP & ASML firmer, post-earnings
  • Dollar is weaker, EUR and GBP firmer post PMI data and Yen continues prior day’s strength
  • Bonds bid after softer German PMI data, Gilts turn negative after its own firmer...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed following a similar lead from the US with participants digesting earnings, recent hawkish BoJ comments and Chinese support pledges.
  • Netflix Inc (NFLX) Q4 2023 (USD): EPS 2.11 (exp. 2.22), Revenue 8.83bln (exp. 8.71bln), Streaming paid net change +13.12mln (exp. +8.91mln); Co. shares +8.7% after-hours.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.8% after the cash market closed down 0.3% on...
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  • European equities are weaker despite starting the session on a firmer footing; US equity futures oscillate the unchanged mark, though the RTY outperforms
  • Dollar is softer largely as a function of a firmer JPY after BoJ Ueda’s hawkish-leaning press conference
  • Bonds are softer, in tandem with JGB price action; US supply later today
  • Crude is softer, giving back the prior day’s advances; Base metals are entirely in the green, benefitting from...
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  • APAC stocks mostly gained after the fresh record levels on Wall St, while the region also digested the BoJ and reports of a potential Chinese equity market rescue package.
  • China is said to consider an equity market rescue package backed by USD 278bln, according to Bloomberg sources.
  • BoJ kept its policy settings unchanged as expected and made no change to its forward guidance.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a contained open with...
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  • European bourses are firmer but within contained ranges, in the absence of any pertinent catalysts; US equity futures are modestly firmer, NQ outperforms as Tech continues to gain
  • Dollar trades around flat, G10’s generally rangebound in light of a quiet start to a busy week
  • Bonds lift, albeit incrementally, as attention turns to key central bank events starting from tomorrow
  • Crude is marginally firmer as geopolitical themes remain in focus;...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed following a catalyst-light weekend and as weakness in Chinese stocks clouded over the early momentum from last week's record levels on Wall Street.
  • Fed's Daly (2024 voter) said on Friday there is a lot of work left to do on inflation, adding it is premature to think rate cuts are around the corner.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.8% after the cash market closed down 0.1% on...
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Week Ahead 22-26th January

  • MON: PBoC LPR (Jan); Swiss M3 (Dec), US Leading Index (Dec
  • TUE: BoJ Policy Announcement, New Hampshire Primary; US Richmond Fed (Jan), New Zealand CPI (Q4), Australian Flash PMIs (Jan), Japanese Trade Balance (Dec)
  • WED: BoC Policy Announcement; Japanese Flash PMIs (Jan), South African CPI (Dec), EZ, UK & US Flash PMIs (Jan), UK CBI (Jan)
  • THU: ECB, Norges Bank, SARB & CBRT...
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