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  • European risk tone is hampered by mixed China data and subsequent cuts to the nations FY23 growth view by various desks
  • Stateside, action is more contained with the docket relatively sparse ahead of Tuesday’s key earnings & with Fed blackout underway
  • Crude benchmarks have returned to APAC lows on China & resumption of Libyan production, intersected by marked upside on a since withdrawn alert
  • USD is pressured with havens outperforming...
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  • APAC stocks began the week subdued as participants digested mixed economic growth and activity data from China.
  • Chinese GDP was firmer than expected QQ but disappointed YY, while Industrial Production topped estimates and Retail Sales missed.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.5% after the cash market closed up by 0.2% on Friday.
  • DXY is contained just below the 100 mark, EUR/USD has maintained...
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Week Ahead July 17-21st

  • MON: PBoC MLF, South Korean Trade Balance Revised (Jun), Chinese GDP (Q2), Retail Sales, and Industrial Output (Jun)
  • TUE: RBA Minutes, SARB Press Release, US Retail Sales (Jun), Canadian CPI (Jun), New Zealand CPI (Q2)
  • WED: UK Inflation (Jun), EZ Final CPI (Jun),
  • THU: PBoC LPR, CBRT Announcement, Japanese Trade Balance (Jun), Australian Jobs Report (Jun),
  • FRI:...
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  • European bourses & US futures are relatively contained ahead of Fed speak and banking earnings
  • Within Europe, Telecoms lag after updates from Ericsson and Nokia
  • DXY struggles for direction just above 99.75 with peers mixed & JPY retreating
  • Core fixed benchmarks diverge slightly as EGBs/Gilts extend while USTs slip ahead of data
  • Commodities are generally contained with catalysts thin after a week of USD-driven...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly higher after the positive lead from Wall St where yields continued to decline post-PPI.
  • Fed's Waller (voter) said the Fed will likely need two more 25bps hikes this year and he favours raising rates at the July FOMC.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.1% after the cash market closed up by 0.7% yesterday.
  • DXY remains on a 99 handle, EUR/USD and Cable gain a...
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  • European bourses & US futures are firmer as the post-inflation action continues ahead of IJC
  • DXY extends the post-inflation decline towards 100.00 amid a further retreat in yields
  • Antipodeans outperform, EUR & GBP also bid; as above, fixed benchmarks continue to climb
  • Crude inches higher with attention on Urals while spot gold is more contained but base metals extend
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US IJC,...
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  • APAC stocks traded higher as the region reacted to the softer-than-expected US inflation data while weaker-than-expected Chinese trade data failed to dampen the spirit.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up by 1.7% yesterday.
  • DXY sits at its lowest level in over a year, EUR/USD and Cable maintain 1.11 and 1.30 status respectively, antipodeans lead.
  • Fixed...
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  • European bourses are firmer across the board with Tech leading after favourable broker action
  • US futures in the green but more contained ahead of CPI and Fed speak
  • DXY continues to wane after losing 101.50, with JPY outperforming while antipodeans wane after Central Bank activity
  • Core fixed income is modestly firmer as the recovery rally resumes and yields slip with the US belly heavy
  • Commodities inch higher on the...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with the region cautious heading into today’s key US inflation data.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.4% after the cash market closed up by 0.7% yesterday.
  • DXY slipped to a fresh two-month low as USD/JPY moved back below 140 and a firmer PBoC CNY fix, NZD is stronger post-RBNZ.
  • RBNZ kept the OCR unchanged at 5.50% as expected and agreed that the OCR will need to...
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  • European bourses remain firmer but off best levels as sentiment slips throughout the morning
  • Stateside, futures in-fitting though action has been more contained and they remain much closer to Unch.
  • DXY fails to benefit from the pullback in risk appetite as CHF and JPY outperform with UST yields pulling back, EUR unreactive to weak ZEW
  • Core benchmarks are bid, with Gilts in-fitting despite hawkish wage metrics
  • Crude...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive following the tailwinds from the US while participants also reflected on China's support efforts.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3% after the cash market closed up by 0.5% yesterday.
  • DXY has extended further beneath 102, EUR/USD is back above 1.10, JPY leads the majors with USD/JPY below 141.
  • Crude futures were marginally firmer owing to the risk tone, USTs...
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  • European bourses are firmer across the board but diverging with their US peers currently
  • USD regains poise with Antipodeans fading and EUR noting OpEx; Scandis lead on CPI & Minutes
  • Core fixed benchmarks are lower despite fleeting bounces ahead of data & several speakers
  • Crude benchmarks remain softer post-Chinese CPI, base metals in-fitting while spot gold is more contained
  • Yellen said the US & China...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive albeit with gains capped for many of the regional bourses.
  • US equity futures lacked excitement as participants look ahead to this week's risk events including US CPI data; European equity futures are indicative of a lower open.
  • The latest Chinese inflation data missed estimates with zero consumer inflation in the mainland and a deeper contraction in factory gate prices.
  • US Treasury Secretary Yellen had a...
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  • MON: Riksbank Minutes, Bank of Israel Announcement, Chinese Inflation (Jun), Norwegian CPI (Jun), Chinese New, Yuan Loans (Jun)
  • TUE: EIA STEO
  • WED: BoC Announcement, RBNZ Announcement, German CPI Final (Jun), UK Jobs Data (May/Jun), German ZEW Survey (Jul), US CPI (Jun)
  • THU: ECB Minutes, BoK Announcement, OPEC MOMR, IEA OMR, EU-Japan summit, UK GDP (May), US PPI final Demand (Jun)
  • FRI: US University of...
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  • European bourse began in the red, but have since moved modestly into the green; US futures remain softer pre-NFP
  • JPY continues its comeback as spreads tighten to the detriment of the USD, index tethered to 103.00
  • Fixed income has resumed its downward trajectory despite initial two-way action, benchmarks currently at lows
  • Crude is firmer and benefitting from the USD downside and the week’s OPEC/Saudi remarks
  • Looking...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower amid spillover selling from global peers including in the US where the major indices were pressured.
  • DXY remained confined to within a narrow range as price action calmed down from yesterday’s fluctuations, USD/JPY traded on both sides of the 144.00 level.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open after the Euro Stoxx 50 cash closed down by 2.9% yesterday.
  • Some key purchasers of Saudi...
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  • European bourses and US futures are pressured as growth concerns draw focus before key US data
  • Cyclicals lag while defensives outperform, but remain red; Meta is bolstered as Threads launches
  • DXY slips post-Minutes while USD/JPY reverses through 144.00 and Antipodeans lead despite risk aversion
  • Gilts gap lower as BoE tightening expectations continue to lift, EGBs and USTs in-fitting with yields lifting further
  • Crude...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower following the post-Independence Day hangover in the US owing to recent weak global data releases and a rising yield environment.
  • The FOMC Minutes provided little to deviate from the current view of future rate increases - almost all participants judged it appropriate or acceptable to leave the target rate unchanged at the June meeting.
  • Fed's Williams (voter) said he is not content with where inflation is right now, and that a June rate...
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  • European bourses are in the red after bleak EZ and Chinese PMI data, US futures similarly downbeat pre-FOMC Minutes
  • Crude initially pressured on the above but lifted by Saudi commentary from the OPEC+ seminar
  • DXY remains in close proximity to 103.00, with JPY benefitting from a broader yield pullback while EUR slips post-PMIs
  • Fixed income is bid, following data and strong UK and German supply; yields lower, short-end...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower following the holiday lull stateside and as participants digested the latest Chinese Caixin Services PMI data.
  • DXY eked mild gains and retained the 103.00 status with price action rangebound after the Independence Day celebrations in the US.
  • Crude futures faded some of the prior day's gains amid the mostly risk-averse mood in Asia, while the focus turns to the OPEC International Seminar.
  • Chinese President Xi...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with the regional bourses mostly rangebound amid the holiday-thinned conditions stateside
  • DXY traded rangebound, EUR/USD and GBP/USD lacked direction, USD/JPY was choppy, AUD slipped after the RBA.
  • The RBA decided to keep rates on hold, but maintained a hawkish tone and kept the door open for future rate hikes.
  • Two drones were intercepted in the Moscow region and one in the Kaluga region, according to Russian...
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  • European bourses are firmer with sectors similarly supported while US futures are incrementally higher pre-ISM and after a constructive APAC handover
  • Tesla outperforms in the pre-market after record Q2 deliveries, TSLA +6.2%
  • In FX the USD recovers post-Friday’s data while CHF lags post-CPI, EUR hit on PMIs and JPY dented as yield differentials widen
  • Crude benchmarks were initially contained but have seen renewed upside on the Russian and...
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  • APAC stocks began the new trading month on the front foot with momentum from last Friday's rally on Wall Street; European equity futures are indicative of a marginally higher open.
  • DXY was contained ahead of the thinned conditions stateside where markets will close early owing to tomorrow’s Independence Day celebrations.
  • Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI topped forecasts for its second consecutive monthly expansion.
  • US confirmed that Treasury...
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Week Ahead July 3-7th

  • MON: BoJ Tankan Survey (Q2), Chinese Caixin Manufacturing PMI Final (Jun), Swiss CPI (Jun), EZ/UK/US Manufacturing PMI Final (Jun), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
  • TUE: RBA Announcement, NBH Announcement, South Korean CPI (Jun), German Trade Balance (May),
  • WED: FOMC Minutes, Chinese Caixin Services PMI Final (Jun), EZ/UK/US Services & Composite PMI Final (Jun), US Durable Goods R...
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  • European bourses trade on the front-foot with the Stoxx 600 on track to close the week out with gains, with little action seen on the EZ Flash CPI metrics.
  • US equity futures are around flat/tilting higher ahead of today’s key PCE data for May, before traders head out for the long Independence Day holiday weekend.
  • ASML does not expect the Dutch government's chip export measures to have a material impact on its financial outlook.
  • China may...
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