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  • FOMC Minutes stated a couple of policymakers would have preferred a 50bps rate cut to address low inflation and that several favoured maintaining rate
  • A reference to the “mid-cycle adjustment” suggests that Fed Chair Powell's use of the phrase was not an off-the-cuff remark
  • German Chancellor Merkel said she would welcome a negotiated Brexit deal but is ready for all outcomes and challenged UK PM Johnson to come up with a solution to avert a no-deal...
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  • European indices are firmer this morning as risk sentiment recovers somewhat, to the detriment of fixed income and safe havens
  • Fed’s Daly stated she does not think we are heading for a recession while Fed’s Kashkari believes Fed should use forward guidance now and will argue for cuts in September
  • USD is mixed vs. G10 counterparts though is outperforming safe havens on sentiment and Sterling ahead of UK PM Johnson's meeting with German Chancellor Merkel
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI,...
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  • Asian equity markets traded subdued as the region conformed to the dampened global risk tone with markets cautious ahead of looming FOMC risk
  • EU sources reportedly believe UK PM Johnson is pulling British officials out of EU meetings which hints that the PM is not serious about achieving a Brexit deal
  • Italian PM Conte submitted his resignation to Italian President Mattarella. Conte was then asked by President Mattarella to stay as a caretaker...
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  • European bourses are little changed this morning after a mixed Asia-Pac handover and little in the way of catalysts since then
  • DXY has inched closer to August highs with Sterling subdued and safe havens deriving some safe haven impetus
  • Italian PM Conte to address the senate at 14:00BST/09:00ET on the ongoing political crisis
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Italian PM Conte addressing the Senate, Fed’s Quarles & Daly

ASIA-PAC

Asian equity markets traded mixed as the...

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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly higher as the region benefitted from the mild tailwind in the US
  • UK PM Johnson told EU's Tusk in a letter he hopes the UK will leave the EU with a deal, but the backstop must be scrapped
  • DXY held on to recent gains although price action was uneventful ahead of this week’s FOMC Minutes and Jackson Hole symposium
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian GDP, APIs, Italian PM Conte addressing the Senate, Fed’s Quarles
  • Earnings: Persimmon, Home Depot,...
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  • European indices (+0.9%) are benefiting from the improved risk sentiment thus far, to the detriment of the fixed income complex and safe havens
  • PBoC announced that it will make the Loan Prime Rate the new Benchmark Reference Rate, which will be linked to the Medium-term Lending Facility rate
  • US President Trump reiterated he is not ready to make a deal with China, reports stated that the Trump administration will grant Huawei an additional 90-day extension, a decision is to be made today
  • Looking...
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  • MON: Japanese Trade Balance, EZ CPI,
  • TUE: Swiss Trade Balance, German PPI, Norwegian GDP, Canadian Manufacturing Sales, RBA Minutes
  • WED: Norwegian Unemployment, South African CPI, Canadian CPI, US Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  • THU: EZ & US Manufacturing, Services and Composite PMIs, Swedish Unemployment, EZ Consumer Confidence, NZ Retail Sales, ECB Minutes
  • FRI: Japanese National CPI, Canadian Retail Sales, US...
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  • European indices are higher across the board, the FTSE 100 saw a delayed start on technical issues and EU banking names saw a sudden sell-off
  • US President Trump doesn’t believe China will retaliate on tariffs, and a call is scheduled with Chinese PM XI
  • Iran has not given any assurances on Grace 1 not going to Syria, saying it was not heading there originally
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Building Permits & Housing Starts, University of Michigan Sentiment, OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report,...
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  • Asian equity markets struggled for firm direction following the mixed lead from Wall St where most major indices eventually saw some composure
  • US President Trump said he doesn't think China will retaliate to an increase in tariffs and understands the September meeting between negotiators is still on
  • Fed Chair Powell reportedly banned Fed staff from any public appearances and is determined not to fuel the struggle between an independent Fed and President...
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  • Risk-off resumed as US-China trade tensions flared up; stock futures slumped and fixed income surged
  • China's Finance Ministry says China will have to take countermeasures on US moves, US actions violate the consensus reached in Osaka’s G20 meeting
  • US President Trump tweeted that China is eating tariffs with currency devaluation and that the tariff delay helps China more than US, but will be reciprocated
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Retail Sales, US NY Fed, Initial Jobless Claims, Industrial...
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  • Asian equities conformed to the rout seen on Wall St. where all major indices fell around 3% and the DJIA slumped 800 points in its worst performance YTD
  • US President Trump tweeted that China is eating tariffs with currency devaluation and that the tariff delay helps China more than US, but will be reciprocated
  • British officials reportedly strongly dispute the EU's interpretation that PM Johnson's actions and demands mean he is now deliberately aiming for a No Deal outcome
  • In FX, DXY was relatively...
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  • European equities are lower across the board as yesterday’s risk on sentiment fizzles out a Chinese data disappoints, and Germany prints a Q/Q GDP contraction
  • China is to keep its plan for September trade talks in Washington with the US following the US tariff delay, according to sources
  • The US 2yr/10yr yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2007 with Bunds printing fresh contract highs above the 178.0 mark
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Import/Export prices
  • Earnings: Cisco...
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  • Asian equity markets traded higher across the board with global risk appetite spurred by a de-escalation in the US-China trade war
  • Continued PBoC liquidity efforts and a firmer CNY fix added to the optimism before weaker than expected Chinese data saw stocks give back some of their gains
  • Italian Senate rejected League's call for a no confidence vote in parliament on Wednesday and are to debate the no confidence motion in parliament on August 20th
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German Q2 GDP...
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  • European indices are lower [Euro Stoxx 50 -0.5%] as sentiment remains risk off as the geopolitical situation remains tense with dismal German data not helping
  • Hong Kong's airport has reportedly suspended all check-ins, following online calls for another day of public assembly
  • USD is mixed between G10 counterparts with antipodeans and safe-havens outperforming and EM’s lagging
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US CPI & Italian Senate meeting to decide on Confidence Vote timing...
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  • Asian equities followed suit from the losses on Wall St with sentiment sapped by the continued overhang from the US-China trade war and disruptions in HK
  • UK PM Johnson believes EU will cave in at the last minute to save Ireland from a no-deal Brexit, according to reports citing a Downing Street source
  • Italian Senate is to meet today at 1700BST to decide when to debate the League no-confidence motion in government
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI & ZEW, UK Employment, US CPI, UK 2049...
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  • European indices are now little changed, after a volatile morning dictated by risk sentiment amidst further unrest in Hong Kong
  • Hong Kong’s airport authority have activated an ‘emergency center’, and all non-checking in flights cancelled for Monday; reports indicate the People’s Armed Police are heading towards Shenzhen
  • China Global Times Editor tweeted that as long as US forces a deal on China through maximum pressure, there will never be a deal
  • Looking ahead, highlights include Italian Senate to...
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  • MON: N/A
  • TUE: German CPI, UK Labour Market Report, German ZEW, US CPI.
  • WED: Australian Wage Price Index, Chinese Industrial Production, Retail Sales, German GDP, Swedish CPI, UK CPI, PPI and RPI, EZ GDP.
  • THU: Australian Employment Report, Norges Bank, UK Retail Sales, US Philly Fed, NY Empire State Manufacturing, Retail Sales, Industrial Production.
  • FRI: OPEC Monthly Report, Eurozone Trade Balance, US Building...
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  • Asian equity markets began the week with a cautious tone, Japan, India and Singapore were away on holiday
  • In FX markets, the DXY was flat, EUR and GBP received some mild reprieve and USD/JPY revisited Friday’s lows
  • China Global Times Editor tweeted that as long as US forces a deal on China through maximum pressure, there will never be a deal
  • UK MPs are reportedly drawing up plans to force PM Johnson to request a Brexit extension, while...
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  • European indices are firmly in negative territory [Euro Stoxx 50 -1.0%], as the mixed Asia-Pac handover fizzled out
  • BTPs, FTSE MIB and Italian Banks are under significant pressure as recent reports indicate League Party are to present a no-confidence motion in the Government
  • UK GDP Prelim QQ Q2 -0.2% vs. Exp. 0.0%, after which Sterling touched multi-year lows at 1.2080
  • Looking ahead, highlights include, include US PPI, Canadian Building Permits & Jobs...
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  • Asian equity markets traded mostly higher as the region got a mild tailwind from the strong performance on Wall St and continued PBoC restraint on the CNY
  • US delayed the decision regarding Huawei licenses following China’s suspension of agricultural purchases
  • Italian Deputy PM and League leader Salvini said there is no longer a majority to support the government and it is necessary to hold fresh elections
  • AUD/USD tumultuous at the whim of central bank rhetoric including RBA Governor Lowe’s...
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  • European indices are firmer thus far, as risk sentiment remained positive after a upbeat Asia-Pac session following strong Chinese data and a firmer than expected CNY reference rate
  • Saudi official says it plans to keep its production below 10mln BPD, committed to do what ever it takes to keep the oil market balanced
  • Dollar is generally softer vs. G10 counterparts, with antipodeans outperforming on the China data though NZD has been impacted by dovish comments from RBNZ Hawkesby
  • Looking ahead,...
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  • Asian equity markets gained as a firmer than expected PBoC reference rate setting and Chinese trade data helped the region shake off initial tentativeness
  • DXY flatlined during Asian hours with price action stuck around 97.50 and with uneventful trade observed across its major counterparts
  • UK PM Johnson reportedly could call for a general election on November 1st (one day after Brexit), to get a boost from Leave supporters
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Initial Jobless Claims & Wholesale...
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  • European indices [Euro Stoxx 50 +1.3%] are firmer this morning defying the mixed Asia-Pac handover
  • RBNZ and RBI cut rates by 50bp and 35bp respectively, adding further fuel to the global growth narrative
  • Fixed continues to make ground with -60bps Bund yield ahead and Gold is inching closer to the USD 1500/oz mark
  • Looking ahead, highlights include, Canadian Ivey PMI, Fed’s Evans, RBA’s Bullock & supply from the US
  • Earnings: CVS & Fox

ASIA-PAC

Asian equity...

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  • Asian equity markets traded mixed as the region observed caution despite the rebound on Wall St.
  • PBoC weakened the CNY reference rate to within a whisker of the 7.0000 ‘line in the sand’ level
  • NZD/USD tumbled after the RBNZ announced a deeper than expected OCR cut of 50bps with Governor Orr refusing to rule out further action
  • Looking ahead, highlights include German Industrial Output, Chinese FX Reserves, Canadian Ivey PMI, RBI Rate...
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  • US Treasury Department designated China as a currency manipulator, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said they will engage with the IMF to eliminate the unfair competitive advantage
  • China MOFCOM confirmed purchases of US agriculture products have been suspended and does not rule out placing tariffs on US agri products imported after August 3rd
  • Major European indices are firmer thus far as sentiment has made a mild turnaround or not deteriorated further from the Asia-Pac session
  • Looking ahead, highlights...
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