Newsquawk

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  • APAC stocks were choppy, cautious, and eventually traded subdued, as the region held a tentative stance ahead of the FOMC minutes and NVIDIA earnings.
  • The Trump administration has been secretly working in consultation with Russia to draft a new plan to end the war in Ukraine, according to Axios sources; Russia said Ukraine attempted to strike targets deep inside Russian territory.
  • BoJ Governor Ueda, Japanese Finance Minister Katayama, and Japanese Economy Minister...
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  • US jobless claims at 232k in the October 18th week, via DOL; continuing claims 1.957mln.
  • European bourses are entirely in the red, US equity futures are modestly lower.
  • USD is choppy amidst early release of weekly jobless claims, JPY digests more verbal intervention.
  • Bonds are benefiting from the risk tone, with some modest price action seen on a surprise jobless claims release.
  • Crude and Copper continue to be...
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  • APAC stocks extended losses throughout the session following a similar lead from Wall Street, which had seen heavy losses on Monday. Overall newsflow in APAC hours was quiet, although tech stocks were among the laggards in the region.
  • DXY traded flat for most of the session and eventually drifted lower before dipping under 99.50 despite quiet newsflow, but as haven FX (JPY and CHF) gained amid risk aversion. 
  • JGB futures saw limited movement at the short end...
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  • European bourses initially opened flat, but have since slipped into the red; US equity futures are mixed.
  • DXY is slightly firmer, whilst Antipodeans slip as the risk tone deteriorates a touch.
  • Bonds are firmer amid the softer European tone but largely awaiting a packed speakers docket, and data later this week.
  • Crude complex started the session in the red, but has since reversed on geopolitical updates; XAU marginally...
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  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the China rare-earths deal will “hopefully” be done by Thanksgiving, according to Fox News.
  • US President Trump said he does not think more tariff rollbacks will be necessary; he said top US officials spoke with their Chinese counterparts on Friday and that he is speaking to China about soybeans, according to Reuters.
  • Apple (AAPL) has intensified succession planning for CEO Tim Cook and is preparing for him to step down as soon as...
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  • MON: Canadian CPI (Oct), US NY Fed Manufacturing (Nov)
  • TUE: RBA Minutes (Nov), NBH Announcement; New Zealand PPI (Q3), Japanese Trade Balance (Oct)
  • WED: FOMC Minutes (Oct), Bank of Indonesia Announcement; UK CPI (Oct), EZ Final HICP (Oct)
  • THU: PBoC LPR; German Producer Prices (Oct), EZ Construction Output (Sep), Canadian Producer Prices (Oct), New Zealand Trade Balance (Oct), Australian Flash PMIs (Nov), Japanese CPI...
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  • European equities opened broadly lower, with all major indices in the red as sentiment soured following weakness in APAC trade; FTSE 100 lags.
  • US equity futures are weaker across the board in pre-market trade as Tech continues to lag on valuation concerns. 
  • GBP/USD is in focus this session following reports that Chancellor Reeves has scrapped plans for an income tax rate hike, a move seen as increasing fiscal risks ahead of the November 26th...
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  • APAC stocks were pressured following the sell-off stateside, where tech was hit on valuation and China AI race concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by recent hawkish-leaning Fed rhetoric and mixed Chinese activity data.
  • Chinese activity data was mixed, in which Industrial Production disappointed and Retail Sales marginally topped estimates, but both showed a slowdown from the previous, while Chinese House Prices continued to contract.
  • US BLS said it is...
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  • European stocks opened mixed and traded choppily since, with macro drivers light; FTSE 100 is subdued post-GDP.
  • DXY drifted lower in early Europe after holding steady overnight, with little reaction to the passage and signing of the US funding bill that formally ends the shutdown.
  • USTs opened softer as risk appetite improved overnight following the House vote to end the shutdown and President Trump signing the legislation.
  • Crude benchmarks...
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  • US President Trump signed the government funding bill and announced an end to the government shutdown after the House voted to approve the bill, while Trump said the government will resume normal operations and reiterated a call for money to be paid to people directly to buy healthcare.
  • White House Press Secretary Leavitt said the October CPI and jobs data is likely to never be released, while it was separately reported that there was no official word from BLS on plans for October...
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  • US House to vote on a bill which could end the shutdown and keep the government funded through January 2026.
  • European bourses are broadly firmer and continue to make highs, US equity futures also gain with the RTY (+1%) outperforming.
  • USD is firmer ahead of a slew of Fed speakers, GBP pressured on political uncertainty; JPY lags.
  • Global bonds are softer given the risk tone, Gilts lag with PM Starmer pressured into...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with the region indecisive amid light fresh catalysts and as participants digested earnings.
  • House Democratic caucus will meet at noon Wednesday in Washington, according to Punchbowl's Sherman
  • UK’s Downing Street has launched an extraordinary operation to protect UK PM Starmer amid fears among the PM’s closest allies that he is vulnerable to a leadership challenge in the wake of the Budget, according to The Guardian's...
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  • China is reportedly devising a plan to keep the US military from getting its rare earth magnets and is considering a ‘validated end-user’ system to fast-track certain export licenses, according to WSJ.
  • European bourses firmer across the board, with outperformance in the FTSE 100; US equity futures are modestly lower.
  • NVIDIA slips -1.5% after Softbank sells stake and following poor CoreWeave results.
  • GBP slides on dismal UK jobs, EUR...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued with the region failing to sustain the positive global risk momentum that had been spurred by US-China trade optimism and US government reopening hopes, while there were few fresh catalysts overnight to fuel the recent rally.
  • US Senate voted 60 vs. 40 to pass legislation to fund the federal government and end the shutdown, while the bill now goes to the House.
  • US House Speaker Johnson is seeking a Wednesday vote on the stopgap bill,...
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  • US Senate voted 60 vs 40 to advance the government funding bill through the procedural hurdle, moving it closer towards passage, after 8 Democrats supported the measure in a rare Sunday session.
  • European and US equity futures are stronger across the board as senators take first steps to ending the US government shutdown; NQ +1.5%.
  • USD softer against high-beta FX but higher against havens amid the risk-on mood.
  • USTs slip on US Government...
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  • APAC stocks traded higher amid the improving US-China trade environment and with hopes of ending the US government shutdown as several Democrats supported Republicans to pass a measure through the procedural vote in a rare Senate session on Sunday.
  • US Senate voted 60 vs 40 to advance the government funding bill through the procedural hurdle, moving it closer towards passage, after 8 Democrats supported the measure in a rare Sunday session.
  • Chinese inflation data...
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  • MON: BoJ Summary of Opinions (Oct); Norwegian CPI (Oct), EZ Sentix (Nov), Chinese M2 & New Yuan Loans (Oct)
  • TUE: US Veterans' Day; New Zealand Inflation Forecasts (Q4), UK Unemployment Rate/Wages (Sep), EZ & German ZEW (Nov), US NFIB (Oct), ADP’s new weekly “preliminary” jobs estimate
  • WED: BoC Minutes (Oct), EIA STEO, OPEC MOMR
  • THU: IEA OMR; UK GDP (Sep/Q3), EZ Industrial Production (Sep), US Cleveland Fed (Oct), New Zealand...
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  • US is to block NVIDIA's (NVDA) sale of scaled-back AI chips to China, according to The Information.
  • European bourses opened firmer but ultimately conformed to the subdued risk tone, US equity futures also mildly in the red.
  • DXY bid awaiting UoM, trading around 99.78; Kiwi underperforms.
  • Bunds were initially hit by the US risk tone, EGBs then slipped on German data, no reaction to the deteriorating European...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly lower as the region took its cue from the risk-off mood stateside, where sentiment was weighed on by weak US labour market proxies and AI concerns, while sentiment was also not helped by weak Chinese trade data.
  • US President Trump said they will need a game plan if the Supreme Court case on tariffs does not go well, and can do other things, but they are slow in comparison.
  • US President Trump added there are no new tariff announcements coming...
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  • Challenger October US Job Cuts jump 175.3% to a 7-month high at 153.074k (prev. 54.064k in September).
  • European bourses are on the backfoot; US equity futures are modestly firmer/flat.
  • Surprise early US Challenger release takes DXY sub-100; NOK gains on Norges, GBP awaits the BoE.
  • Early Challenger lifted USTs to a session high, Gilts await the BoE.
  • Crude benchmarks are higher despite Saudi oil price cuts and US...
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  • APAC stocks were higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall St, where all major indices gained amid dip buying.
  • European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 futures relatively flat after the cash market closed with gains of 0.2% on Wednesday.
  • DXY traded rangebound after having recently snapped a 5-day rally, despite firmer-than-expected ADP and ISM Services data, while catalysts were quiet...
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  • European bourses are entirely in the red; US equity futures mixed, with the NQ continuing to underperform whilst the RTY takes a breather.
  • Recent USD rally pauses for breath ahead of ADP and ISM services.
  • USTs are contained into a packed agenda, Gilts continue to ease from Tuesday's best.
  • Commodities rebound following Tuesday’s risk-off sell-off.
  • Looking ahead, highlights include US Final PMI, US ADP, US ISM Services...
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  • APAC stocks were mixed after an early sell-off following the losses stateside, where tech underperformed amid valuation concerns.
  • European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.7% after the cash market closed with losses of 0.3% on Tuesday.
  • The USD rally has paused for breath (DXY remains above 100), EUR/USD is unable to reclaim 1.15 status, USD/JPY failed to hold below 153.
  • Global fixed income...
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  • RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.
  • European bourses are lower across the board with sentiment downbeat; US equity futures are in the red, NQ -1.3%.
  • DXY briefly returned to a 100 handle, GBP slipped post-Reeves, who failed to reiterate her tax-related pledges, Antipodeans lag.
  • Gilts outperform amid tax rise speculation, USTs await Fed...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the mixed lead from Wall St, where the majority of sectors declined but tech outperformed.
  • RBA kept Cash Rate unchanged at 3.60%, as expected; judged some of the increase in underlying inflation in Q3 was due to temporary factors.
  • European equity futures indicate a lower cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future down 0.8% after the cash market closed with gains of 0.3% on Monday.
  • DXY is flat,...
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