Newsquawk

Blog

  • Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister says Iran has not sent any messages to the US to end the conflict, but are instead focused on self defence efforts, according to Sky News Arabia.
  • Deputy Commander of the Iranian Army Central Command said Iran has not closed the Strait of Hormuz; IRGC struck a US oil tanker while announcing US, Israeli and European vessels are not allowed through the strait. 
  • European bourses trade mixed, STMicroelectronics surges on new chip;...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks rebounded from yesterday's sell-off as the region took impetus from the positive handover from Wall Street, where the Nasdaq led the advances on tech strength, while geopolitics remained in focus.
  • US President Trump said they are in a very strong position, and that Iran's missiles and launchers are being wiped out, while he added that they will continue forward.
  • Iranian Foreign Minister says Washington will regret targeting Iranian frigate in...
Categories:
  • US officials are sceptical of either Iran's or the US' willingness to off-ramp in the short term, relating to Iran's Intelligence Ministry reportedly reaching out to the CIA indirectly a day after the conflict started with an offer to discuss terms, NYT reported. 
  • Saudi Arabia said there was an attempt to attack the Ras Tanura refinery (550k BPD); no damage has been reported at the refinery. 
  • European bourses rebound following this week's selloff,...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks extended on losses with markets roiled by the widening conflict in the Middle East; KOSPI saw a double-digit percentage drop and had triggered a circuit breaker with declines led by shipbuilders and shipping firms.
  • Iran hit more than 10 tankers that ignored warnings and warns ships against transiting the Strait of Hormuz, according to FARS.
  • US President Trump said, "If necessary, the United States Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of...
Categories:
  • US President Trump said the US continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran, while he added that Iran could have missiles capable of reaching America soon and had refused to cease its pursuit of nuclear weapons.
  • US and China trade negotiators are to meet mid-March prior to the Trump-Xi summit, with Treasury Secretary Bessent and Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng expected to convene in Paris at the end of next week to discuss bilateral matters.
  • European...
Categories:
  • US President Trump said the US continues to carry out large-scale combat operations in Iran, while he added that Iran could have missiles capable of reaching America soon and had refused to cease its pursuit of nuclear weapons.
  • The US is said to be preparing for a 'pickup' in attacks in Iran during the next 24 hours, according to a senior unnamed official cited by CNN.
  • US and China trade negotiators are to meet mid-March prior to the Trump-Xi summit, with Treasury...
Categories:
  • US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
  • Iran launched immediate retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israel, and multiple US military installations across the Gulf and multiple Gulf states, including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain. Global equities hit on risk tone, energy and defence names benefited, while airlines were...
Categories:
  • US and Israel launched a large-scale joint military operation against Iran on Saturday, 28th February; Iranian state television officially confirmed the death of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.
  • Iran launched immediate retaliatory missile and drone attacks against Israel, and multiple US military installations across the Gulf and multiple Gulf states, including the UAE, Qatar, Kuwait and Bahrain.
  • Iran’s IRGC declared the Strait of Hormuz closed to...
Categories:
  • SUN: OPEC Meeting
  • MON: German Retail Sales (Jan), Final Manufacturing PMIs (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb)
  • TUE: Japanese Unemployment (Jan), EZ Flash HICP (Feb), US RCM/TIPP (Mar), UK Spring Statement
  • WED: Australian GDP (Q4), Chinese NBS PMIs (Feb), Swiss CPI (Feb), Final Composite/Services PMIs (Feb), EZ Unemployment (Jan), PPI (Jan), US ISM Services PMI (Feb)
  • THU: ECB Minutes (Feb); Australian Trade...
Categories:
  • PBoC announced it will cut the FX Risk Reserve Ratio for forward FX sales to 0% from 20%, effective March 2nd to promote FX market development and support corporate exchange rate risk management.
  • European equities firmer, Telecoms lead following potential M&A; US equity futures lower in the continuation of Thursday's tech-led selloff.
  • DXY is flat; G10s broadly firmer, ex-EUR and GBP. 
  • USTs mildly firmer, Bunds choppy after...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks were ultimately higher heading into month-end but with price action choppy following the weak handover from the US, where sentiment was clouded by tech weakness, while participants also digested the recent US-Iran talks in Geneva - which ended in no deal.
  • Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi said they entered serious talks about sanctions relief and the nuclear issue, while he added it was one of the most serious talks they have had with the US, and technical talks will start in...
Categories:
  • At the third round of nuclear talks in Geneva, Omani Foreign Minister says Iran and the US have welcomed proposals and talks are still currently ongoing. Further, "Iranian negotiating delegation meets IAEA director at the headquarters of the negotiations in Geneva", via Al Jazeera.
  • European equities mixed; US equity futures unable to gain following NVIDIA earnings (+0.8% pre-market.)
  • DXY posting modest gains, JPY outperforms on hawkish rhetoric, Cable...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks are mostly positive as the majority of the region took its cue from gains on Wall Street, where tech led the advances, and NVIDIA posted stronger-than-expected earnings.
  • US equity futures initially saw support following NVIDIA's earnings results, as the world's most valuable company beat on top and bottom lines, although gains were pared as NVIDIA ultimately returned to flat territory after hours.
  • BoJ's Governor Ueda said there is no...
Categories:
  • US President Trump talked up the economy in his State of the Union Address, saying that the nation is back, bigger, better and stronger than before, while he added that we've seen nothing yet.
  • Regarding tariffs, Trump said the Supreme Court decision on tariffs is very unfortunate but added that tariffs will remain in place and nearly all countries want to keep the trade deals.
  • European bourses firmer as HSBC lifts the banking sector; US equity futures hold onto...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks traded higher as the region took impetus from the rebound on Wall Street after Anthropic's presentation helped soothe some AI/software concerns, and with tech also bolstered by the USD 60bln Meta-AMD chip deal; Euro Stoxx 50 futures up 0.2% after the cash market closed flat on Tuesday.
  • US President Trump talked up the economy in his State of the Union Address, saying that the nation is back, bigger, better and stronger than before, while he added that we've seen nothing...
Categories:
  • European bourses slip as AI concerns hit European Banks; US equity futures rebound slightly.
  • JPY dragged on reports PM Takaichi raised reservations about rate hikes to BoJ Governor Ueda; DXY slightly firmer.
  • Gilts notch a fresh contract high into the TSC, USTs rangebound heading into heavy speaker docket.
  • WTI and Brent mildly gains; Spot gold retreats from Monday's best while Copper gains as mainland China...
Categories:
  • APAC mostly firmer as China returned, somewhat shrugging off the weak Wall St. finish on AI disruption concerns.
  • DXY marginally firmer, EUR/USD directionless, while USD/JPY edged higher and above 155.00.
  • USTs pulled back from Monday's best, Bunds remained near highs, while JGBs saw choppy action after the long weekend.
  • Crude remained tentative amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainty, XAU faded while copper rallied as China...
Categories:
  • President Trump raised the blanket tariff rate to 15% from 10% over the weekend, following SCOTUS ruling against IEEPA tariffs on Friday; EU is set to freeze trade deal approval over US President Trump's tariff risk, Bloomberg reports.
  • European equities mixed; Defence names hit as Hungary blocks further funding.
  • DXY pressured on renewed uncertainty after Trump increases global tariffs to 15%.
  • Fixed income relatively contained and awaiting...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks were mixed amid trade uncertainty as the region digested the latest tariff developments after the US Supreme Court ruled against IEEPA tariffs on Friday, prompting President Trump to impose a global 10% flat-rate tariff, which he later raised to 15% over the weekend.
  • US officials said that tariff deal partners should honour their agreements, while USTR Greer said he sought to separate the tariff agreements from the 15% global tariff that US President Trump...
Categories:
  • MON: German Ifo (Feb)
  • TUE: Mainland Chinese markets return from Lunar New Year, PBoC LPR, US ADP Weekly, House Prices (Dec), Consumer Confidence (Feb), Dallas/Richmond Fed (Feb)
  • WED: Australian CPI (Jan), Norwegian Consumer Confidence (Q1), Unemployment (Jan), German GfK (Mar), GDP Final (Q4), Swiss Sentiment (Feb), EZ HICP Final (Jan), Nvidia earnings
  • THU: EZ Consumer Confidence Final (Feb), Mexican Unemployment (Jan), UK Gorton...
Categories:
  • US President Trump reportedly weighs limited strike to force Iran into nuclear deal, according to WSJ; President considers a range of military options but says he still prefers diplomacy.
  • European equities rebound from Thursday's losses, Moncler supports the luxury sector; US equity futures taking impetus from its EZ counterparts.
  • USD slightly firmer, GBP mildly benefits on strong Retail Sales/PMIs, JPY weaker post-CPI.
  • A UK surplus supports...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks followed suit to the predominantly negative mood on Wall Street, where risk appetite was subdued amid private credit fund concerns and geopolitical risks.
  • Hang Seng retreated on return from the Lunar New Year holidays, with the big tech names leading the declines in the index, while mainland markets and the Stock Connect remained shut and won't open until next Tuesday.
  • USD/JPY lingered near the prior day's best levels north of 155.00,...
Categories:
  • US President Trump and his advisors have reportedly indicated that the USMCA could be scrapped, NY Times reports. Instead, the US could have bilateral deals with Canada and Mexico.
  • European equities lower as Airbus misses on 2026 aircraft deliveries; US equity futures slip.
  • Antipodeans gain following recent losses; DXY flat after Wednesday's advances.
  • Bonds hold a bearish bias, continuing the pressure seen in the prior session due to various...
Categories:
  • APAC stocks traded higher following the positive handover from the US and with South Korea outperforming amid tech strength on return from the Lunar New Year holidays.
  • FOMC's January meeting minutes showed a broad agreement to hold rates, but views diverged on the path ahead.
  • US senior official told Axios that the round of talks with Iran in Geneva was "a hamburger stuffed with nothing" and is one of the reasons why Trump is close to making a decision on the issue...
Categories:
  • The Trump administration is closer to a major war with Iran than people realise, Axios reports citing sources; a military operation would likely be a massive, weeks long campaign that will be a joint US-Israeli attack. European equities entirely in the green, with IBEX leading the way; US equity futures continue to extend Tuesday's gains.
  • DXY firmer, Kiwi hit post-RBNZ while Cable holds afloat following UK inflation.
  • Gilts choppy post-CPI; USTs slightly lower ahead...
Categories: