Newsquawk

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  • MON: German Ifo (Dec), New Zealand Trade Balance (Nov).
  • TUE: BoJ & NBH Policy Announcements, RBA Minutes (Dec); EZ HICP Final (Nov), Canadian CPI (Nov), Japanese Trade Balance (Nov).
  • WED: PBoC LPR, BoC Minutes (Dec); UK CPI (Nov), EZ Current Account (Oct), EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Dec), US Existing Home Sales (Nov).
  • THU: CBRT & CNB Policy Announcements; UK PSNB (Nov), US Final GDP (Q3), IJC (w/e 15th),...
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  • European equities and US Futures are firmer; the RTY (+0.9%) outperforms
  • Dollar meanders around the 102 level; Antipodeans benefit from the risk tone whilst EUR lags post PMI
  • EGB’s are bid following EZ Flash PMI data whilst USTs are contained pre-Williams; Gilts remain firmer but off highs after their own PMIs
  • Crude holds a modest bias in line with a broader positive risk tone post Chinese Industrial Output...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly higher after the positive handover from Wall St as yields continued to decline.
  • Chinese Industrial Production topped estimates but Retail Sales disappointed despite showing double-digit percentage growth.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.2% after the cash market closed up 0.2% yesterday.
  • DXY hovers around the 102 mark, EUR/USD lingers just below 1.10 and...
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  • European equities and US futures continue to gain; the FTSE 100 outperforms lifted by upside in Basic Resources
  • DXY is weaker post-FOMC; Antipodeans bid on positive risk sentiment; JPY benefits from converging yield spreads
  • SNB unchanged at 1.75%, cuts not part of the discussion, dropped FX ‘selling’ reference; Norges Bank hiked to 4.50%
  • Fixed bid awaiting fresh impetus from the ECB and BoE
  • Commodities extend...
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  • US stocks rallied, while bonds and gold also surged as the dollar and yields slumped in response to the dovish FOMC
  • The Fed kept rates unchanged but made dovish tweaks to the statement guidance and cut its 2024 median dot by more than expected
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +1.1% after the cash market closed down 0.1% yesterday
  • DXY fell as low as 102.42, EUR/USD hovers around 1.09 pre-ECB,...
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  • European equities and US Equity futures are firmer awaiting the Fed Policy Announcement
  • Dollar is bid to the detriment of G10 pairs; Kiwi underperforms following the larger NZ current account deficit; Pound lags amid dismal GDP data
  • Gilts gap higher post-data though benchmarks await the FOMC & German fiscal clarity
  • Crude teeters around the unchanged mark having spent much of the European session in the red; Base metals are mostly softer...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with participants cautious heading into the FOMC announcement.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with Euro Stoxx 50 future unchanged after the cash market closed down 0.1% yesterday.
  • DXY remains sub-104 pre-FOMC, JPY unfazed by improved Tankan data, NZD lags.
  • USTs and Bunds are marginally firmer post-strong 30yr US auction, crude futures languished near 6-month...
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  • European bourses dip into the red despite initial gains; US Futures are firmer ahead of US CPI; the FTSE 100 outperforms post UK-data
  • Dollar oscillates on either side of the 104.00 mark; Yen is among the G10 outperformers, rebounding from yesterday’s hefty losses
  • Bonds lift off post-supply low as attention turns to US CPI later today, Gilts gap higher on UK wages
  • Crude is weaker despite overnight reports that a Norwegian-flagged tanker was...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly positive as the region took impetus from the gains on Wall St.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.4% yesterday.
  • DXY is softer but contained in a tight range around the 104 mark, antipodeans and JPY lead gains vs. the greenback.
  • Bunds and USTs firmer despite poor US 3yr and 10yr auctions, crude continued to edge...
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  • European equities are mixed/flat alongside US equity futures; the FTSE 100 lags, hampered by Basic Resources
  • DXY is around flat; JPY significantly underperforms after BoJ sources, USD/JPY up to 146.45
  • BoJ is said to see little need to end negative rates in December, via Bloomberg citing sources; intends to come to a decision based on data up to the last minute. Lacks proof of sustainable inflation.
  • Bunds post modest gains whilst Gilts lag in...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed after recent data releases including stronger-than-expected jobs data from the US and worsening deflation in China, while this week’s upcoming risk events, including US CPI data and a slew of central bank updates, added to the cautious mood.
  • DXY eked slight gains albeit with trade confined to a tight range; 10-year UST futures were little changed which provided some mild respite from post-NFP selling pressure; crude futures marginally extended on Friday's recovery...
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  • MON: Norwegian CPI (Nov), Chinese M2 (Nov).
  • TUE: EIA STEO; UK Unemployment Rate (Oct), German ZEW (Dec), US NFIB (Nov), US CPI (Nov), Japanese Tankan (Q4).
  • WED: FOMC, BoK & BCB Policy Announcements, OPEC MOMR; UK GDP (Oct), EZ IP (Oct), US PPI (Nov).
  • THU: BoE, ECB, SNB & Norges Bank Policy Announcements, IEA OMR, EU Council (1/2); Australian Employment (Nov), Swedish CPIF (Nov), US IJC (w/e 8th), Import/Export...
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  • European equities gain with outperformance in the CAC 40; US Futures meander around the unchanged mark ahead of NFP
  • Dollar remains within a tight range whilst the Kiwi lags on cross-related flows, JPY off recent highs
  • Fixed income retreats modestly ahead of payrolls, Gilts continue to modestly underperform
  • Crude posts notable gains making back some of this week’s losses whilst spot Gold is around flat
  • Looking ahead,...
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  • APAC stocks eventually traded mostly higher but with gains limited as sentiment remained cautious.
  • RBI kept the Repurchase Rate unchanged at 6.50%, as expected.
  • JPY remains the key focus in the FX space with USD/JPY sub-144.00, EUR/USD and Cable tested 1.08 and 1.26 respectively. 
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.3% after the cash market closed down 0.2%...
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  • European equities are on a weaker footing following a negative handover from the APAC session; whilst US futures are mixed with NQ holding in the green
  • Dollar subdued with the Yen dominating as it benefits from higher JGB yields post BoJ Ueda
  • BoJ Governor Ueda suggested that the “handling of monetary policy would get tougher from the end of the year”
  • Crude attempts to nurse recent losses while precious metals are flat pre-data, base metals...
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  • APAC stocks declined following the weak lead from Wall St, while markets digested mixed Chinese trade data.
  • Chinese trade metrics showed the first expansion in exports since April although imports surprisingly contracted.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open with Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.5% after the cash market closed up 0.7% yesterday.
  • DXY holds a footing above 104, JPY leads following upside in Japanese yields,...
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  • European bourses are modestly firmer with US futures posting gains of a similar magnitude
  • The Dollar is uneventful meandering around the 104 level; Antipodeans outperform paring back yesterday’s losses and benefiting from positive risk sentiment
  • Fixed saw initial EGB/UST divergence but Bunds have faded and move in-line with USTs which pause for breath pre-ADP
  • Crude continues to slip whilst base metals are almost entirely in the green given...
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  • APAC stocks were mostly higher with risk sentiment underpinned by softer yields.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a modestly firmer open with Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after the cash market closed up 0.9% yesterday.
  • DXY lingers just below 104, EUR/USD languishes beneath 1.08, antipodeans benefit from the risk appetite.
  • 10-year UST futures marginally pulled back and Crude futures lacked direction after yesterday's...
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  • European equities trade on the front foot though the FTSE100 is once again hampered by losses in Basic Resources; US Futures are in the red
  • DXY trades around the unchanged mark, with the Aussie underperforming post RBA hold
  • Fixed was initially driven higher by ECB Schnabel’s comments; though now off best levels after EZ PMI revisions
  • ECB's Schnabel (Hawk) says that further hikes are now “rather unlikely” following the November inflation...
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  • APAC stocks declined following the mostly negative lead from Wall St where the major indices were choppy and ultimately weighed amid a rebound in yields ahead of key data releases.
  • RBA kept the Cash Rate Target unchanged at 4.35%, as expected, while it reiterated its forward guidance; Chinese Caixin Services PMI topped forecasts; Tokyo CPI printed below expectations.
  • Saudi's Energy Minister said OPEC+ cuts can 'absolutely' go beyond Q1 and they will not agree to a...
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  • European equities mixed with underperformance in the FTSE100 hampered by Basic Resources and Energy; Stateside, futures trade on the backfoot
  • Dollar is firmer with clear underperformance in the Swiss Franc post-CPI; Yen trades marginally firmer attributed to narrowing yield differentials
  • Core fixed benchmarks are around unchanged; Bunds were briefly lifted in the wake of weaker German Trade data
  • WTI and Brent lose further ground in a...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with an initial positive bias after last Friday’s gains on Wall St, although the upside was capped in the region after quiet macro newsflow from the weekend and ahead of this week’s key events.
  • DXY was marginally positive in otherwise quiet trade, 10-year UST futures mildly pulled back although held to most of Friday's spoils, and crude futures were subdued.
  • Spot gold initially surged by more than 3% shortly after the open as prices breached...
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  • MON: Riksbank Minutes (Dec); German Trade Balance (Oct), Swiss CPI (Nov), EZ Sen tix (Dec), US Factory Orders (Oct), Japanese CPI (Nov), Australian Final PMIs (Nov).
  • TUE: RBA Policy Announcement; Chinese Caixin Services PMI (Nov), EZ/UK/US Composite/Services Final PMI (Nov), EZ Producer Prices (Oct), US ISM Services PMI (Nov).
  • WED: BoC Policy Announcement; German Industrial Orders (Oct), UK/EZ Construction PMI (Nov), EZ Retail Sales (Oct), US ADP (Nov),...
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  • European equities extend gains; FTSE100 propped up by mining names; US futures contained pre-Powell
  • DXY is marginally weaker, with mild outperformance in the Kiwi post-hawkish commentary from Hawkesby
  • Bonds bounce and back on a firmer footing, after steep month-end retracement
  • Crude contained post-OPEC; base metals boosted by the softer Dollar & firmer Chinese data
  • Israel's military said that Hamas violated the...
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  • APAC stocks began the new month with price action rangebound as markets paused following the November rally amid another busy day of economic releases, while the conflict in Gaza also resumed.
  • DXY marginally softened beneath 103.50 as it gave back some of the prior day’s gains, USD/JPY briefly dipped beneath the 148.00 level, and Antipodeans were choppy amid the mixed risk appetite.
  • Crude futures remained subdued after the prior day's selling despite the OPEC+...
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