Newsquawk

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  • Ukraine and Russia reached an understanding on a joint provision of humanitarian corridors for evacuating civilians.
  • Ukraine's Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant was attacked by Russia; safety of the plant has since been secured. 
  • APAC stocks were seen lower amid fears surrounding the Russian attack on the Ukrainian power plant. 
  • European equity futures are indicative of a negative open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future down 2.1% after...
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  • Next round of Russia-Ukraine discussions could start at 12:00GMT today; though, Russia notes that they are awaiting the arrival of the Ukrainian delegation
  • European bourses are lower and in-line with the generally cautious mood ahead of negotiations; US futures lower, ES -0.1%, but more contained pre-data & Fed speak
  • DXY remains firm and either side of 97.50, with peers generally lower and havens not benefitting from the cautious tone in-fitting with the core...
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  • APAC stocks traded mostly positive following gains in the US where stocks and yields climbed.
  • European equity futures are indicative of a flat open after the Eurostoxx 50 cash market closed higher by 1.5% yesterday.
  • DXY remains on a firm footing, EUR/USD hovers around 1.11 and Cable is circa 1.34.
  • Interfax reported that Russia and Ukraine are to hold talks today. 
  • Fitch and Moody's cut Russia's sovereign...
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  • Ukraine and Russia will hold a second round of discussion later today, via Tass citing an aide to the Ukraine presidential office - awaiting Ukranian confirmation.
  • Earlier, Russia's Kremlin says the Russian delegation will be waiting later today and are ready to continue talks; not clear if Ukrainian officials will attend the talks.
  • Losses in Europe trimmed and bourses are now predominantly positive following Kremlin commentary around today's potential negotiations,...
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  • US stocks finished lower (S&P 500 -1.6%) with Asian equities also seen softer overnight. 
  • European equity futures are indicative of a soft open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -0.1% after the cash market closed lower by 4.0% yesterday.
  • In FX, the DXY extended on gains above 97.00, EUR/USD has reclaimed 1.1100 and cable sits on a 1.33 handle.
  • US President Biden said getting prices under control is his highest...
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  • Sentiment in equities has moved to risk-off as the mornings Russia-Ukraine updates are generally downbeat; Euro Stoxx 50 -2.5%, ES -0.5%
  • US futures are lower across the board, ES -0.5%, though magnitudes are more contained than their European peers as participants look to a heavy data-docket ahead and Fed speak incl. Powell later in the week
  • Ukrainian President Zelensky says that negotiations with the Russian side have not achieved required results while Russian...
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  • APAC stocks began the month mostly on the front foot with the region digesting encouraging Chinese PMI data
  • European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -1.0% after the cash market closed lower by 1.2% yesterday
  • DXY is marginally firmer but sub-97.00, AUD steady after the RBA maintained rates and its dovish tone
  • US State Department said the US is prepared to walk away from Iran nuclear talks...
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  • G7 leaders declared they will remove selected Russian banks from the interbank SWIFT system
  • Russian President Putin ordered to place Russia's nuclear deterrent forces on high alert citing aggressive statements by NATO leaders
  • Negotiations have commenced between Ukrainian and Russian officials at the Belarus border.
  • European bourses & US futures are pressured, but off worst levels, following weekend sanctions as negotiations commence;...
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  • MON: Chinese Official PMI (Feb)
  • TUE: RBA Policy Announcement, Norges Bank Watch, India Maha Shivrati; Chinese NBS & Composite PMIs (Feb), EZ, UK & US Final Manufacturing PMI (Feb), German Retail Sales (Jan), CPI Prelim. (Feb), US ISM Manufacturing PMI (Feb)
  • WED: OPEC Meeting, BoC Policy Announcement; German Unemployment (Feb), EZ Flash CPI (Feb), US ADP (Feb), Australian Composite/Services Final PMIs (Feb)
  • THU: ECB Minutes...
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  • Russian President Putin ordered to place Russia's nuclear deterrent forces on high alert citing aggressive statements by NATO leaders and economic sanctions
  • G7 leaders declared they will remove selected Russian banks from the interbank SWIFT system; the EU said some Russian central bank assets will be frozen
  • Russian Central Bank said it releases a capital buffer while it ordered market players to reject foreign clients' bids to sell Russian...
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  • European bourses are firmer and back in proximity to initial best levels after losing traction shortly after the cash open, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.3%; FTSE 100 +1.9% outperforms amid Basic Resources strength.
  • US futures are lower across the board, ES -0.9%, after yesterday's significant intra-day reversal to close positive; albeit, action has been rangebound within the European morning.
  • Europe is preparing additional Russian sanctions, US says they have room for further...
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  • Ukrainian Foreign Minister Kuleba confirmed Russian rockets have been fired at Kyiv
  • US President Biden authorised new sanctions including on Russian exports
  • US stocks were able to close higher with the NQ (+3.4%) outperforming peers; US futures traded on a slightly softer footing overnight
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +2.1% after the cash market closed lower by 3.6%...
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24th February 2022

SNAPSHOT

LOOKING AHEAD

  • Looking ahead, highlights include US GDP (2nd Estimate), PCE Prices Prelim, Initial Jobless Claims, Banxico Minutes, Speeches from Fed's Bostic, Daly, Mester, ECB's Schnabel, BoE's Bailey & Broadbent
  • Earnings from Alibaba, Moderna, Norwegian Cruise Line, Occidental Petroleum
  • Click
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  • Russian President Putin authorised a special military operation to demilitarise Ukraine
  • Multiple explosions were heard across several Ukrainian cities including the capital of Kiev
  • US stocks finished lower (S&P 500 -1.8%) and US equity futures extended on losses overnight with APAC stocks also slumping
  • European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -3.8% after the cash market closed lower by...
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  • European bourses are firmer, Euro Stoxx 50 +1.0%, with gains relatively broad based though the oil-exposed FTSE 100 lags given benchmark pricing.
  • US futures, ES +0.6%, are also firmer as newsflow is comparably slower and as participants also take impetus from sanctions being less-stringent than some feared.
  • EU Ambassadors have approved sanctions on Russia & US Secretary of State Blinken said it doesn't make sense to meet with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov...
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  • US President Biden announced the first tranche of sanctions on Russia whilst cautioning that this is the beginning of a Russian invasion of Ukraine
  • US Secretary of State Blinken cancelled his meeting with Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov. Biden-Putin meeting is not on the cards
  • S&P 500 closed in correction territory, whilst APAC stocks traded on a firmer footing
  • European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro...
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  • European bourses have experienced a marked recovery throughout the session, Euro Stoxx 50 Unch., with the FTSE 100 (+0.4%) the marginal outperformer given its crude exposure.
  • A recovery that comes amid numerous geopolitical developments and was seemingly led by oil upside and as we await clarity/insight into any Russian sanctions and as Ukraine's President remains confident that there will not be a war.
  • EU ambassadors considered a four-part sanctions package against...
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  • Russian President Putin said Russia will recognize the independence of Donbas LPR and DPR separatists
  • The US will announce fresh sanctions against Russia on Tuesday in which it will coordinate with allies on the announcement
  • APAC stocks traded negatively amid Russia-Ukraine developments. US equity futures also retreated overnight
  • European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future -1.4% after cash markets...
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  • MON: US Washington's Birthday (Market Holiday); Bank of Israel Announcement; PBoC LPR Announcement; EZ and UK Flash PMIs (Feb).
  • TUE: NBH Announcement; German Ifo Survey (Feb); EZ Flash CPI (Jan); US Flash PMI (Feb).
  • WED: RBNZ Announcement; German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Mar); Japan Emperor's Birthday.
  • THU: BoK Announcement; US GDP 2nd (Q4).
  • FRI: EZ Sentiment Survey (Feb); US PCE (Jan); Eurogroup...
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  • Reports over the weekend noted heavy fighting between Ukraine’s armed forces and Russian-backed separatists along the contact line
  • US President Biden and Russian President Putin have separately agreed in principle to meet
  • APAC stocks traded mostly negative before trimming losses on the Biden-Putin update
  • European equity futures are indicative of a firmer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 future +0.4% after cash markets closed lower by 1.0% on...
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  • European bourses are contained around the unchanged mark, Euro Stoxx 50 +0.2%, as an initially positive open on geopolitical developments waned as we await further drivers.
  • US futures are deriving greater upside from the reported meeting of US-Russian officials today and next week; however, focus turns to Fed's Williams & Brainard
  • Additionally, Russia's Defence Minister is to speak over the phone with his US counterpart on Friday, at the request of the...
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  • Sentiment picked up following reports of a meeting between the US Secretary of State and Russian Foreign Minister late next week
  • US President Biden is to hold a meeting on Friday with the heads of NATO, EU, France, Germany, UK, Italy, Poland, and Romania
  • APAC stocks maintained a mild downside bias, US and European equity futures traded with gains
  • DXY saw a modest downtick on the Blinken/Lavrov meeting headlines. Antipodeans lead in the G10...
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  • Risk sentiment remains at the whim of geopolitics, US futures lower across the board (ES -0.5%) while European bourses are somewhat cushioned on corporate updates (Euro Stoxx 50 Unch.)
  • Crude benchmarks are pressured as we await clarity on reported shelling in Donbas; currently, WTI and Brent remain around USD 1.00/bbl from the overnight trough.
  • The current peaks of USD 93.31/bbl and USD 94.48/bbl in WTI and Brent were set overnight on the initial report via Sputnik...
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  • Markets saw risk-off trade following reports of mounting tensions in Ukraine via Russian press – awaiting confirmation from Ukraine/NATO
  • Russian-backed separatists claimed that Ukraine opened fire in the Donbas region;  a US official said there are more Russian troops at the border and not fewer
  • FOMC minutes saw little new information; markets reacted to the lack of hawkish surprises
  • Crude futures collapsed post-settlement on positive...
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  • European bourses (Eurostoxx 50 unch.) trimmed early gains as NATO Sec. Gen. Stoltenberg pushed back on claims of Russian troop withdrawals, adding he is yet to see signs of a de-escalation.
  • US futures (ES -0.1%) sit in minor negative territory amid the pullback in risk sentiment; traders await US retail sales and FOMC minutes.
  • DXY down to new sub-96.00 WTD low; safe-havens lag while AUD and EUR lead though EUR/USD op ex looms.
  • US Treasuries...
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