• Fed Chair Powell, when asked about the two hikes pencilled into the dot plot, responded "That's a pretty good guess of what will happen".
• Fed's Bostic (non-voter) said that rates should stay where they are for the rest of the year.
• APAC stocks were mostly lower following the tech-led declines on Wall St and with risk appetite also constrained by key holiday closures.
• European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx...

• European bourses are indecisive with the main macro story of the session thus far coming via UK inflation metrics.
• GBP only knee-jerked higher on the hotter-than-expected CPI before shedding all and more of its gains on economic implications of further BoE tightening.
• DXY is firmer pre-Powell whilst the JPY is softer following more dovish BoJ commentary.
• US Treasuries have regained composure whilst Bunds saw a full recovery and Gilts trimmed...

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• BoE rate decision and minutes due Thursday 22nd June 2023 at...

• APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the negative handover from Wall St amid the lack of bullish macro drivers.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.3% after the cash market closed down 0.4% yesterday.
• In FX, DXY lingers above 102.50, EUR/USD maintains 1.09 status, NZD leads the majors, JPY lags.
• 10yr UST futures marginally eased back after the prior day’s bull flattening, Crude...

• European bourses & US futures are pressured ahead of the return of US participants and key Fed speakers
• DXY has drifted after a brief/small extension to 102.62, JPY rebounds though notes OpEx while AUD lags after RBA Minutes
• PBoC cut the LPRs as expected, though the 5yrs magnitude disappointed some expectations; Biden said relations are on the correct trail
• EGB benchmarks consolidation topped out near round figures with UTS paring losses...

• APAC stocks were mostly lower in the absence of a lead from Wall St and as markets digested the PBoC’s cuts to its benchmark lending rates.
• As expected, China lowered its 1-year LPR after similar cuts to short-term funding rates but disappointed those anticipating a deeper 15bps cut for the 5-year LPR.
• European equity futures are indicative of a flat open with the Euro Stoxx 50 unchanged after the cash market closed down 0.7% yesterday.
• DXY...

• APAC stocks were mostly negative following last Friday's losses on Wall St, while risk appetite was also contained as markets digested US-China talks.
• The meeting between US Secretary of State Blinken and Chinese Foreign Minister Qin was said to be candid, substantive and constructive although it lacked any breakthroughs.
• European equity futures are indicative of a lower open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.7% after the cash market closed up 0.7% on...

Week Ahead June 19-23rd

• MON: US Juneteenth Market Holiday
• TUE: PBoC LPR Announcement, RBA Minutes, NBH Announcement, German PPI (May), US Building Permits (May)
• WED: BoC Minutes, BCB Announcement, CNB Announcement, UK Inflation (May), New Zealand Trade Balance (May)
• THU: BoE Announcement, SNB Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement, CBRT Announcement, Banxico Announcement, Bank of Indonesia...

• European bourses are firmer across the board and largely unphased by numerous ECB speakers
• Stateside, futures post modest gains and await the likes of Fed’s Waller and Barkin as the blackout lifts
• DXY has lifted off-lows with Yen assisting post-BoJ while EUR pivots OpEx and GBP continues to advance
• Fixed income experiences a modest and perhaps technically driven revival alongside notably less explicit Holzmann...

• APAC stocks traded higher following the gains on Wall St where the major indices were lifted alongside a weaker dollar and softer yields.
• The BoJ refrained from any hawkish surprises and maintained its ultra-easy policy settings.
• European equity futures are indicative of a slightly higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed down 0.3% yesterday.
• DXY is contained following yesterday's heavy losses, JPY is the laggard...

• European bourses & US futures trade on the backfoot post-FOMC and pre-ECB
• DXY propped up, AUD outperforms following a strong jobs report whilst NZD lags as it enters a recession
• JPY majorly lags on the prospect of even wider BoJ-Fed divergence ahead of Friday’s meeting
• Core benchmarks slip and extend on post-Fed declines whilst European supply was well received
• Base/industrial metals dented on softer Chinese...

• The Fed left rates unchanged as expected whilst revising the dot plots higher which are now indicative of two more 25bp hikes this year.
• Fed Chair Powell distanced himself from the dot plots in the press conference whereby he noted that projections are not a plan or a decision.
• US stocks finished mixed, APAC stocks traded mostly higher despite disappointing activity data from China; PBoC cut its 1-year MLF rates by 10bps.
• European...

• Equity bourses are firmer with the general risk tone constructive pre-FOMC
• USD continues to wane and nears 103.00 to the modest benefit of peers, Antipodeans lead G10s
• GBP is firmer post-GDP while EUR/USD is drawn to hefty 1.08 expiries
• USTs bid before the Fed, Bunds slip after soft issuance and Gilts attempt to recoup from recent pressure
• Crude consolidation continues, metals are mixed with fresh drivers...

• APAC stocks were somewhat mixed with the region's bourses mostly tentative despite gains on Wall Street.
• US stocks were firmer after the latest CPI data all but confirmed the likelihood of an unchanged Fed rate.
• European equity futures are indicative of a softer open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.7% yesterday.
• DXY is contained ahead of the FOMC, EUR/USD lingers below 1.08, GBP/USD maintains 1.26...

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To download the report, please click here If you would like to subscribe to receive the research sheets directly in your inbox, you can now do so under the Research Suite section of the portal. To subscribe simply check the box next to "Email these reports" under the desired category. 

• European bourses & US futures are firmer but off best levels in a continuation of Monday’s action and ahead of US CPI
• NQ is the outperformer as the tech sector benefits from Oracle strength post-earnings
• USD dips pre-inflation while GBP lifts post-jobs/wages, Yuan attempts to recover after PBoC action
• Gilts continue to lag, impacted by data, supply and BoE rhetoric while USTs are once again more contained
• Crude...

• APAC stocks eventually traded mostly higher following the gains on Wall St where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 notched fresh YTD highs.
• Nikkei 225 resumed its outperformance and breached the 33,000 level for the first time in over three decades.
• European equity futures are indicative of a higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.7% after the cash market closed up 0.6% yesterday.
• DXY is a touch softer in quiet trade, EUR/USD is capped by...

• European bourses & US futures are firmer despite a distinct lack of fresh drivers ahead of the week’s key events
• DXY wanes with Antipodeans firmer, EUR rebounding towards 1.08 and GBP bid post-Haskel
• Gilts underperform generally subdued core benchmarks following BoE remarks while BTPs and JGBs buck the bearish trend
• Crude and base metals continue to slip with spot gold benefits from the softer USD
• China’s Foreign...

• APAC stocks traded mixed with the region mostly cautious at the start of a risk-packed week.
• US equity futures were flat overnight; European equity futures are indicative of a marginally higher open.
• DXY was marginally positive amid the cautious mood but with price action kept within a thin range; USD/JPY was indecisive after early upside.
• Several Chinese lenders cut yuan deposit rates from Monday which follows similar action by China's...

• MON: NY Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations.
• TUE: OPEC MOMR, German Final CPI (May), UK Jobs Data (Apr/May), German ZEW Survey (Jun), US CPI (May).
• WED: FOMC Announcement, IEA OMR (2024 Forecast), UK GDP (Apr), Swedish CPIF (May), EZ Industrial Production (Apr), US PPI (May), New Zealand GDP (Q1).
• THU: ECB Announcement, PBoC MLF Announcement, Eurogroup meeting, Japanese Trade Balance (May), Australian Job Report (May),...

• European bourses & US futures are contained with newsflow limited and the docket ahead sparse
• USD/JPY lifted by dovish BoJ sources with the DXY firmer and above 103.50, Yuan hit on soft CPI
• Fixed benchmarks relatively rangebound into the weekend and looking to next week’s key events
• Crude pivots particularly narrow parameters while XAU slips and base metals grind higher
• US Secretary of State Blinken's...

• APAC stocks traded mostly higher following the gains on Wall St where the S&P 500 entered a bull market and tech outperformed.
• European equity futures are indicative of a marginally higher open with the Euro Stoxx 50 +0.1% after the cash market closed up 0.1% yesterday.
• DXY is contained just below 103.50, EUR/USD sits around two week highs, USD/JPY has reclaimed 139 status.
• US Secretary of State Blinken's long-delayed Beijing trip is now...

• European bourses & US futures are mixed flat with updates limited in quiet newsflow
• DXY continues to pullback below 104.00 with G10s firmer across the board and activity-FX outperforming
• Core benchmarks continue to pullback but are off session lows with USTs contained pre-IJC & refunding
• Commodities are similarly contained, with crude and key metals in thin ranges and following the wider risk tone
• Looking...

• APAC stocks were mostly subdued following the mixed handover from Wall St where tech underperformed as global yields climbed.
• RBI kept the key Repo Rate unchanged at 6.50%, as expected, with the decision on rates unanimous.
• European equity futures are indicative of a weaker open with the Euro Stoxx 50 -0.5% after the cash market closed down 0.1% yesterday.
• DXY is flat and lingering just below the 104 mark, EUR/USD is back above 1.07, USD/JPY...