• Asian equity markets were somewhat mixed as the region digested the fallout from the ECB and Trump’s decision to impose tariffs on China
• UK government presented an amendment that reportedly fell short of rebel demands with the new clause giving Parliament a more limited say
• Looking ahead, highlights include EZ CPI, Russian rate decision, US NY Fed mfg PMI, industrial production, Uni. of Michigan, Baker Hughes, quadruple witching

ASIA

Asian equity...

• FOMC lifted the Fed Funds Rate to 1.75%-2.00% as expected. FOMC median view sees 4 hikes in 2018. Dropped reference that it expected rates to be below neutral for ‘some time’.
• House of Commons voted to reject House of Lords amendments to the EU Withdrawal Bill which would have required the Government to seek to negotiate a customs union as part of the framework for a future UK-EU relationship
• Looking ahead, highlights include German CPI (F), Swedish CPI, UK retail sales, ECB rate...

• Asian stocks traded subdued with participants tentative ahead of the looming FOMC decision and amid a resurfacing of trade concerns
• House of Commons rejected withdrawal bill amendments related to Brexit day, Henry VIII powers and ‘meaningful vote’
• Looking ahead, highlights include IEA monthly oil report, UK CPI, US PPI, DoEs, FOMC rate decision and press conference, supply from Italy and Germany

ASIA

Asian stocks traded subdued with...

• Asian equity markets mostly traded with modest gains following a similar performance on Wall St. and with focus fully centred on the historical summit between US President Trump and North Korean Leader Kim Jong Un
• The meeting between the 2 leaders was seen as amicable in which the leaders shook hands several times and exchanged pleasantries
• UK PM May has headed off a Conservative rebellion ahead of today’s key Brexit vote by reaching out to Remainers in her party, according to reports
...

• US President Trump refused to endorse the G7 communique which he stated was due to false statements made by Canadian PM Trudeau
• Asian equity markets and the USD subsequently began the week somewhat cautiously
• Looking ahead, highlights include Norwegian CPI, UK production, Barnier & Davis meet, US 3 and 10yr supply

G7/Trade

G7 official communique which was backed by all countries apart from the US, acknowledged free, fair and mutually beneficial trade...

• Asian stocks traded with a subdued tone following a lacklustre performance on Wall St. DXY has languished below the 93.50 level
• Trump launched a tweet-tirade against EU and Canada ahead of the G7, in which Trump accused EU & Canada of using massive trade tariffs and trade barriers against US
• Looking ahead, highlights including the Canadian jobs report and the beginning of the G7 summit

ASIA

Asian stocks traded with a subdued tone...

• Asian stocks traded higher as the regional bourses took impetus from the gains in their US counterparts
• USD was weaker with the DXY stuck around the 93.50 level to the benefit throughout the session
• US President Trump is said to be planning on adopting a confrontational tone at G7 in response to the other 6 nations collectively pressuring him regarding tariffs
• Looking ahead, highlights include Turkish rate decision, US weekly jobs, BoE’s Ramsden, supply from France and...

• Asian equity markets traded somewhat mixed after a similar performance on Wall St. FX markets were largely influenced by NAFTA trade concerns
• Sources suggest that ECB sees 14th June meeting as 'live' to discuss QE exit
• UK opposition Labour party are reportedly going to announce a major shift towards a soft Brexit
• Looking ahead, highlights include RBI rate decision, DoEs, ECB’s Praet, BoE’s Tenreyro and...

• Asian equity markets traded slightly indecisive after the momentum somewhat petered out from Wall St.
• RBA kept rates unchanged as expected and reiterated its prior statements which continued to suggest a prolonged pause by the central bank
• UK PM May reportedly abandoned plans to present UK-EU blueprint before this month's summit in Brussels and will now postpone its release to after the summit
• Looking ahead, highlights include EZ, UK and US services PMI, US ISM non-manufacturing,...

• Asian equity markets began the week higher across the board as the region reacted to Friday’s US jobs report and the US-NK summit being back on the cards
• In FX markets, safe-havens were under strain in which JPY took the brunt of the heightened risk appetite which saw USD/JPY and JPY-crosses extend on Friday’s gains
• Looking ahead, highlights include UK construction PMI, US factory orders and BoE’s Tenreyro

TRADE

US Commerce Secretary...

• Italy’s 5SM and League completed an accord on a coalition government with Conte now given the mandate to form a 5 Star/League coalition government
• Asian stocks traded cautiously after trade war concerns resurfaced following the US announcement to impose steel and aluminium tariffs on EU, Canada and Mexico
• Looking ahead, highlights include UK and Eurozone mfg PMIs, US NFP, ISM mfg, Baker Hughes and Fed’s Kashkari

TRADE

US metal tariff...

• Asian equities higher after following suit from the rebound seen in their global counterparts as Italian fears subside (for now) and encouraging Chinese data
• Italy's Five Star Movement have called for Savona to withdraw candidacy for Economy Minister to allow a government to be formed
• Looking ahead, highlights include Eurozone CPI, US personal consumption and PCE price index, Chicago PMI, Canadian GDP and DoEs

ASIA

Asian markets traded positive across...

• Asian equities trade lower across the board as Italian political woes and trade concerns grip sentiment overnight
• Cottarelli and Mattarella failed to reach an agreement on forming a government but will continue talks. ANSA report that failure to reach a deal could see elections on July 29th
• Looking ahead, highlights include regional and national German CPIs, US ADP, GDP, Advance Good Trade Balance, BoC Rate Decision, APIs

ASIA

Asian stocks traded lower...

• Asia traded mostly subdued as region lacked impetus following the market closures in US and UK. Political uncertainty in Italy and Spain added to the cautious tone
• In FX markets, the risk averse tone spurred flows into the safe-havens with JPY the main beneficiary which pushed USD/JPY briefly below the 109.00 handle
• Looking ahead, highlights include ECB’s Mersch and Lautenschlaeger

RECAP OF STORIES FROM OVER THE WEEKEND AND MONDAY FOR UK TRADERS AWAY FROM...

• Asian equity markets traded mostly higher on warming geopolitical ties with prospects of the US-North Korea summit back in play
• Italy PM-designate Conte reportedly gave up on efforts of forming a government after Italian President Mattarella rejected Eurosceptic Paolo Savona for the Economy Minister position
• Today’s calendar sees a lack of tier 1 highlights. UK and US markets are closed

• Asia cautious after US President Trump’s cancellation of the NK summit, albeit Trump has left the door open for the summit to take place in the future
• FX markets quiet with the USD recovering some of the lost ground from the FOMC minutes; GBP/USD back below 1.3400 and EUR/USD eyeing 1.1700
• Looking ahead, highlights include German IFO, UK GDP, US Durables, Uni. Of Michigan and a slew of speakers

• FOMC Minutes stated that most felt it would soon be appropriate to raise rates again if outlook remained intact. Minutes contained little that changes the current ‘gradual hikes’ script
• Asian equity markets traded subdued after US President Trump ordered the Commerce Department to consider a probe on auto imports
• Looking ahead, highlights include German GDP, UK retail sales, ECB minutes and a slew of central bank speakers

• Sentiment soured in Asia after Trump cast doubts over NK summit and expressed dissatisfaction regarding trade talks with China
• In FX, JPY was a beneficiary of safe-haven flows. USD flat. TRY experienced a ‘flash crash’ which saw the currency drop over 2.5% against the greenback
• Looking ahead, highlights include EZ Mfg and Services PMIs, UK CPI, US New Home Sales, DOEs, FOMC minute and a slew of speakers

• Asian stocks traded mostly subdued amid holiday closures and a lack of fresh catalysts. DXY was sideways around 93.50 following its recent pullback from YTD highs
• Italy’s President Mattarella reportedly expressed concerns with the 5SM/League fiscal plan and is said to need time to mull the PM choice
• Looking ahead, highlights include BoE QIR testimony, ECB’s Liikanen, UK/EU trade talks and US 2yr Note Auction

• Asian equity markets traded mostly positive with sentiment underpinned following the conclusion of the 2nd round of US-China trade talks
• China agreed to purchase more goods to avoid a trade war. Mnuchin announced that tariffs on China would be placed on hold as discussions progress
• Looking ahead, highlights include ECB’s Nowotny, Fed’s Bostic, Harker and Kashkari
• Due to Whit Monday, markets in Austria, Denmark, Germany, Hungary, Iceland, Norway, and Switzerland are...

• Asian stocks traded mostly positive but with gains contained as focus remained on US-China trade talks and the current geopolitical climate
• The Chinese trade delegation was said to offer a package to reduce the US trade deficit by USD 200bln annually
• Looking ahead, highlights include Canadian CPI, retail sales, Fed’s Mester, Kaplan and Brainard

• FED: Fed chair announcement to overshadow FOMC meeting
• ECB: Draghi pulls-off magic act
• BOE: MPC to hike for the first time in a decade
• BOJ: Policy meeting likely to be a snooze fest
• BOC: Cautious BOC enters data-dependent mode
• RBA: Cyclical upswing still missing
• RBNZ: Labour market data to do little to sway RBNZ
• Norges Bank: Move on, nothing...

FEDERAL RESERVE (FED)

• Attention this week will be on the Q&A part of Fed chair Janet Yellen’s semi-annual testimony to Congress (House Financial Services Committee on 12 July and Senate Banking Committee the next day). The Fed’s Monetary Policy Report, released Friday, provided little new information, reiterating gradual hikes, and gradual reduction of the balance sheet when it begins later this year. Indeed, the report largely echoed recent comments from Fed policymakers, as well as...

Click here for the RANsquawk Week Ahead Eco Preview, 26 to 30 June 2017

FEDERAL RESERVE

• The abundance of Fedspeak last week did little to persuade the market to shift towards the FOMC’s hiking trajectory – which has pencilled in seven additional 25bps hikes tspanough the end of 2019; Fed Funds Futures, on the other hand, see just two more hikes over that horizon.

• An acceptance of the need to be patient was generally evident in the tone of the 2017...

RANsquawk Weekly G10 Central Bank Monitor can be accessed here

NORTH AMERICA

TUE 20 JUN 2017 - 1330BST: US CURRENT ACCOUNT BALANCE (Q1)

Forecast: The deficit is seen narrowing to USD 124.9bln vs a deficit of 112.4bln prior.

WED 21 JUN 2017 - 1500BST: US EXISTING HOME SALES (MAY)

Forecast: 5.55mln vs prior 5.57mln. Both new and existing home sales slipped in April,...