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Russian Federation Central Bank Key Rate (Feb) 9.50% vs. Exp. 9.50% (Prev. 8.50%); if situation develops in-line with the baseline forecasts they hold open the prospect of further hikes in coming meetings

SourceNewsquawk
SectionOther Central Banks

Inflation

  • Policy stance is aimed at bringing inflation back to the target, notes inflation is developing appreciably above the CBR October forecasts.
  • Balance of risks has further shifted towards proinflationary.
  • Medium-term inflation is largely impacted by monetary policy.

Forecasts (2022)

  • CPI: 5.0-6.0% (prev. 4.0-4.5%)
  • Key Rate: 9.0-11.0% (prev. 7.3-8.3%)
  • GDP: 2.0-3.0%) (Prev. 2.0-3.0%)
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