US EARLY MORNING: Nasdaq-100 higher after solid META earnings; US GDP, weekly jobs data and more key earnings are ahead

OVERNIGHT: US House voted 217 vs 215 to narrowly pass a Republican debt ceiling bill, which aims to spark negotiations with US President Biden on avoiding a default. Biden has made it clear that the Republican bill has no chance of becoming law; he is reportedly happy to meet with House Speaker McCarthy, but not on whether the debt limit gets extended, which Biden said was not negotiable. Asia-Pac stocks were mixed, with most major indices cautious amid the banking sector headwinds in the US and as participants digested a deluge of earnings releases and performance updates. (our APAC wrap is here)

US PRE-MARKETS: Despite a cautious risk tone globally, US equity futures are in the green, although it is the Nasdaq-100 that is doing all of the lifting after earnings from Meta Platforms (META) provided further reassurances about the resilience of Big Tech names, where its user stats and advertising metrics topped expectations. Anxiety surrounding the banking sector continues after FRC’s share price continued to slide on Wednesday, as an exit from its troubles increasingly appears to be elusive. Overnight, Japanese bank Nomura was under pressure, and banking names in Europe are mixed this morning as they continue to report. European banking metrics for Q1 have been broadly constructive: today, Germany's Deutsche Bank announced its eleventh straight quarter of profits, UK’s Barclays (BARC LN) posted profits above expectations amid a credit card boom, while Spain's BBVA (BVA SM) saw profits rise almost 40%; the Scandie banks Swedbank (SWEDA SS) and Nordea (NDA SS) also saw better than expected profits. There are further earnings reports from globally significant companies due today (CAT, MA, AMZN, INTC, for instance), but traders will also be focussing on macro dynamics, with the advanced release of US Q1 GDP, as well as weekly initial jobless claims data. Within the release of the GDP stats, traders will be paying close attention to the PCE numbers, which will help refine expectations for the March PCE data due Friday (core PCE is expected to cool by 0.1ppts to 4.5% Y/Y in March, data tomorrow is expected to show). These data will provide traders with a handle on how the Federal Reserve will continue to normalise policy; although market reactions after recent data releases shows that traders are becoming comfortable with the notion that the central bank will continue to lift rates until inflation is close to target, particularly services sector inflation (+25bps is priced for the May 3rd confab, with some risk of another hike in June), recent jitters around growth and financial conditions has seen markets resume pricing in cuts later this year, with around 40bps of easing currently priced in (vs around 25bps at the start of this week), which is at odds with the commentary Fed officials gave before entering their pre-meeting blackout.

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27 Apr 2023 - 09:30- EquitiesData- Source: Newsquawk

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