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Norwegian Key Policy Rate (Sep) 0.25% vs. Exp. 0.25% (prev. 0.00%); based on the Committee’s current assessment of the outlook and balance of risks, the policy rate will most likely be raised further in December

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionOther Central Banks
  • Decision was unanimous
  • A normalising economy suggests that there is no longer a need to maintain the current degree of monetary accommodation
  • Repo forecasts: Sep'21 0.02% (prev. 0.02%), Dec'21 0.28% (prev. 0.28%), Mar'22 0.57% (prev. 0.57%), Jun'22 0.78% (prev. 0.78%), Sep'22 0.98% (prev. 0.96%), Dec'22 1.12% (prev. 1.07%)
  • The policy rate forecast implies a gradual rate rise in the coming years. The policy rate path is a little higher than in the June 2021 Monetary Policy Report.
  • The economic upswing will likely continue through autumn
  • Underlying inflation is low, but increased activity and rising wage growth will help push inflation up towards the inflation target of 2%
  • Based on the Committee’s current assessment of economic developments and the prospects for bank losses and lending capacity, the buffer rate will be raised to 2.0% in December

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