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Norwegian Key Policy Rate* N/A 3.75% vs. Exp. 3.5% (Prev. 3.25%); current assessment of the outlook and balance of risks implies that the policy rate will most likely be raised further in August.

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionOther Central Banks

RATE PATH

  • Current assessment of the outlook and balance of risks implies that the policy rate will most likely be raised further in August.
  • The policy rate forecast has been revised up since the March Report and indicates a rise in the policy rate to 4.25 percent in the course of autumn.
  • Jun’23 3.20% (prev. 3.18%), Sep’23 3.88% (prev. 3.52%), end-2023 4.21% (prev. 3.60%), end-2024 3.98% (prev. 3.45%), end-2025 3.45% (prev. 3.02%)

INFLATION

  • Inflation has been markedly higher than projected in the March Report.
  • Higher wage growth and a weaker krone than projected earlier will push up inflation ahead.
  • (CPI-ATE) Jun’23 6.58% (prev. 6.01%), Sep’23 6.30% (prev. 5.42%), end-2023 5.91% (prev. 4.88%), end-2024 3.94% (prev. 3.44%), end-2025 2.93% (prev. 2.64%)
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