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Norges Bank Regional Network Survey: Regional network: Prospects for weak growth; In the period to winter, contacts expect growth to slow

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionOther Central Banks
  • Reduced construction activity and weaker household demand are dampening activity growth, while investment related to energy production, and commercial services continues to rise.
  • A number of contacts also point out that the krone depreciation over the past year has helped improve Norwegian firms’ competitiveness.
  • Overall, contacts expect somewhat higher activity in Q3.
  • As in previous surveys, the increase reflects a sharp rise in oil services and solid growth in services.
  • At the same time, the decline in construction activity is accelerating and sales volumes in retail trade are falling.
  • Contacts expect overall activity growth to slow in Q4.
  • Contacts in oil services and services sectors expect a continued rise in activity, while contacts in the other sectors expect a decline.
  • Overall employment will increase through the second half of 2023.
  • The number of contacts reporting capacity constraints continues to fall, while the supply of labour is little changed since May.
  • Contacts expect annual wage growth of 5.4% in 2023 and 4.6% in 2024.
  • At the same time, contacts report reduced profitability in Q3 compared with the same time in 2022.

Via Norges

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