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Fed's Williams (voter), when pressed, says Fed has not said it is done raising rates, but has made "incredible progress on monetary policy"

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionFed
  • Will raise rates again if needed.
  • Don't see any reason to cut rates this year.
  • Not seeing a wage-price spiral today.
  • Structural shifts will not impair the Fed's work to return to the inflation target.
  • Possible US economy has more underlying strength; risks to both up and downside.
  • Seeing signs of further tightening of credit; expects credit contractions will affect economic growth.
  • Doesn't see tighter credit knocking the economy totally off course.
  • Tighter credit may blunt how far the Fed goes with rate hikes.
  • Wage growth has slowed, but has now stabilised at a high level, suggesting labour market is still very strong (AHE are currently running at a 6% annualised rate, Powell said at the FOMC he wants wage growth to get to 3%).
  • Acute phase of banking stress is likely over.
  • Falling rent inflation will weigh on CPI.
  • Fed is very focused on commercial real estate (CRE) risks.
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