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MAY 14, 2025 AT 08:55 AM

EUROPEAN EQUITIES UPDATE: Stocks opened mixed but now hold a downward bias as the risk tone dips

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SectionMarket Analysis

STOXX 600: -0.2%

  • European bourses opened modestly mixed and on either side of the unchanged mark; since, price action has featured a slight downward bias, as the general risk tone gradually deteriorated.
  • Fresh macro/trade updates have been relatively light today; focus is on White House economic adviser Hassett, who said the administration has more than 20-25 deals on the table with deals close to being finalised and when President Trump returns, he will announce the next deal, according to a Fox interview.
  • The data docket has included; final German/Spanish inflation metrics, which were unrevised. From an EU perspective, focus will be on commentary from ECB’s Cipollone in the afternoon.
  • Goldman Sachs lifts its Stoxx 600 target for the next 12-months to 570 (prev. 520).
  • Barclays raises its 2025 year-end price target for STOXX 600 to 540 (prev. 490, currently 545.09).
  • Barclays European Equity Strategy downgrades Consumer Staples to Underweight; upgrades Consumer Discretionary to Market Weight (prev. Underweight).

Sectors: Mixed

  • European sectors opened mixed and with no clear theme or bias, and with the breadth of the market fairly narrow.
  • Real Estate takes the top spot, joined closely by Telecoms and then Utilities to complete the top three.
  • Consumer Products sits at the foot of the pile, largely driven by losses in Compass (-3.5%) – the Co. reported a slight earnings beat and confirmed its guidance. Elsewhere, Burberry (+6.7%) jumped at the open after it reported better-than-expected results, with China figures also topping expectations; the Co. also said its cost-saving measures may lead to job cuts of around 1,700 people.
  • Autos sit towards the foot of the pile, driven by post-earning weakness in Daimler Truck (-1.1%). The Co. marginally topped on its Adj. EBIT figure but cut its Op. Profit forecast, citing North American uncertainty. Elsewhere, Porsche SE (+0.4%) is a little firmer after the Co. reported slightly better than expected results.

Individual movers:

  • GSK (+0.6%) is to purchase Boston Pharmaceutical unit for USD 2bln; will pay USD 1.2bln upfront and USD 800mln in milestone payments.
  • Hapag Lloyd (+4.5%) beat on its Q1 Revenue figure and affirmed its guidance.
  • Alstom (-16%) sees softer cash flow after reporting a beat on its Q1 results.
  • ABN AMRO (+8%) reported better-than-expected Net Profit, whilst other figures were in-line.

US Equity Futures: ES U/C, NQ U/C, RTY -0.2%

  • Futures are flat/modestly lower, attempting to hold onto the gains seen yesterday, strength which was in-part spurred by the plethora of deals announced/reported on during the Saudi event.
  • The data releases docket is light today, with an absence of Tier 1 releases. Weekly US MBA mortgage applications data. On the speakers' slate, remarks are due today from the Fed's Waller (Voter, Dove), Fed Vice Chair Jefferson and Fed's Daly (2027 voter).
Published: 05 / 14 / 2025 / 08:55Updated: 05 / 14 / 2025 / 08:55