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DECEMBER 16, 2024 AT 10:05 AM

EUROPEAN EQUITIES UPDATE: European bourses mostly lower, CAC 40 lags after Moody's downgrades France

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SectionMarket Analysis

STOXX 600: -0.2%

  • European bourses began the European session on a modestly mixed footing, with indices generally trading on either side of the unchanged mark. As the morning progressed, sentiment slipped a touch to display a slightly negative picture in Europe.
  • Today’s French/German PMI metrics ultimately painted the same picture; Manufacturing remains dire, whilst services continues to improve. The EZ-wide figure itself saw both components edge higher and above expectations; metrics which were unable to lift European indices off lows.
  • German politics watchers will note a confidence vote in the government is expected, which Chancellor Scholz is seen losing; this will spark the formal kick-off for campaigning ahead of a February 23rd election, where polls currently have CDU in the lead, but the SPD's Scholz will be hoping to use the time to bounce-back and mount a challenge.

Sectors: Negative

  • European sectors hold a strong negative bias, with a clear defensive tilt given the risk tone.
  • Healthcare takes the top spot, after heavyweight Novo Nordisk (+1.9%) gains after it announced it is to invest USD 1.2bln in a new plant in Denmark, via Reuters. Further, it confirmed that regulators have given the green light to Novo Holding’s acquisition of Catalent.
  • Autos parks itself at the foot of the pile, weighed on by losses in Porsche SE after the automaker withdrew guidance. Travel & Leisure is also on the backfoot today, with Entain pressuring the sector after reports that it is being sued by an Australian regulator, amid claims of money laundering.

Major Indices: DAX 40 -0.1%, CAC 40 -0.6%

  • The DAX 40 is very slightly on the backfoot, in-fitting with the broader risk tone in Europe. In terms of stock specifics, Vonovia (-2.8%) slips after the Co. presented a deal to Deutsche Wohnen (+1.8%) for a potential tie-up. Autos are generally on the backfoot today after Porsche SE (-1.9%) withdrew is guidance and noted of a EUR 20bln impairment on its Volkswagen stake; peers such as BMW (-1.1%) and Mercedes (-0.9%) edge lower in tandem, but also given the defensive bias in Europe.
  • The CAC 40 is the marginal underperformer in Europe today, which is not all too surprising after Moody’s downgraded France to Aa3; outlook stable; citing political fragmentation. As for stock specifics, Vivendi (+36.5%) soared at the open after its spin-off of Canal+ was successfully completed.

US Equity Futures: ES +0.1%, NQ +0.2%, RTY +0.1%

  • Futures are very modestly on a firmer footing, with sentiment a little better vs in Europe.
  • US day ahead: The US manufacturing PMI is seen little changed, though the services measure is expected to slip; the NY Fed Manufacturing report for December will also be out.
Published: 12 / 16 / 2024 / 10:05Updated: 01 / 27 / 2025 / 03:35