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ECB's Vujcic sees slight positive economic growth in Q2, services support growth and labour market is still tight

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionECB
  • Inflation risks are elevated but more balanced.
  • Extreme weather conditions as we speak can affect food prices.
  • Does not expect clear announcement on terminal rate, discussions to continue.
  • Will be data dependent over coming months and quarters.
  • Will be ready to tighten policy further or ease it as needed.
  • Latest reading is maybe pointing to services sector softening, September meeting is very open.
  • He puts more weight on observables, like inflation data and real activity and lending data.
  • China is a risk to the GDP outlook.
  • Slowing down pace of rate hikes is certainly a possibility.
  • Even if ECB pauses, we will say we can resume hiking.
  • There is no discussion of outright APP bond sales.
  • Not unimaginable to discuss bringing forward the end of PEPP reinvestment. 
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