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BoJ Governor Ueda (post-meeting press conference) says economy is recovering moderately, will not hesitate to take additional easing if necessary; reiterates that the BoJ needs to patiently continue its easy policy

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SourceNewsquawk
SectionBoJ

INFLATION:

  • BoJ is yet to foresee inflation achieving 2% in a stable manner
  • No change to BoJ view that risk of overestimating inflation is greater than inderestimating it
  • Does not yet think that there has been a big jump in inflation expectations since July meeting
  • BoJ today discussed that inflation's rate of deceleration has been slower than in July outlook report
  • Pace of the fall in inflation seems somewhat slower than forecast in July
  • Companies' moves to pass on price hikes are nearing a peak
  • Says there are no reasons to worry about the slight rise in longer-term rates since they are in tandem with the rise in inflation expectations

WAGES:

  • Wage and price setting behaviour has been more positive recently
  • Views the continued contraction in Japan's real wages with concern
  • Says households are taking a great hit from falling real incomes
  • Corporate profits are largely solid, positive for wage hikes next year
  • Strength of wage growth - and its sustainability - is one of the most important factors for the BoJ to judge prices

MORTGAGES:

  • Says the macroeconomic impact of slight rise in mortgage rates is limited

OUTLOOK

  • Says uncertainty is high over economic and price outlook, as well as FX and financial market outlook
  • In October, BoJ will scrutinise various data, including government's gasoline subsidy extension
  • Japan's consumption is on a gradual recovery, overall

GLOBAL OUTLOOK:

  • US economy is stronger than expected, raises the prospect of a soft landing, but notes the uncertainties surrounding US soft landing expectations
  • Sees the Federal Reserve's stance as keeping rates high; says BoJ must be mindful of Fed hiking rates again
  • Notes that parts of Europe and China are weak
  • On risks from China, says measures taken for the China housing market are appropriate, but BoJ must carefully monitor the impact

MARKET MOVES:

  • Says BoJ will watch closely for FX moves that impact the outlook
  • Has no specific comment on short-term moves in long-term rates or currencies
  • Adds that it is important for FX to move stably, reflecting fundamentals
  • Will closely coordinate with the government to monitor FX market and its impact on the economy

GUIDANCE: 

  • Will not hesitate to take additional easing measures if necessary
  • Reiterates that he said recently that BoJ needs to patiently continue easy policy
  • Will mull policy adjustments if price goal is in sight
  • Will end YCC and NIRP when BoJ judges that achievement of 2% inflation is in sight
  • Could consider ending YCC and modifying NIRP when it judges that the achievement of 2% inflation is in sight
  • Not currently in a position to decide on the order of change in policy tools
  • Cannot identify what variable would lead to achievement of 2% inflation and end of NIRP
  • Short-term rates will be kept until the BoJ has achieved its proce target
  • Says BoJ does not have a specific strategy for policy changes after it has achieved 2% inflation
  • BoJ wants to achieve 2% inflation by continuing easy policy with help of somewhat high inflation rate driven by rising import prices
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