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SEPTEMBER 22, 2022 AT 06:34 AM

BoJ Governor Kuroda says will patiently continue powerful easing, will not hesitate to ease policy further if needed; closely watching financial and FX moves

Source
SectionBoJ

FX:

  • BoJ will closely watch financial market moves and their impact on the economy and prices in conjunction with the government.
  • BoJ is closely coordinating with the government, attentive to JPY weakening effects on the economy and prices.
  • JPY weakening is one-sided, notes there are speculative moves behind weakening JPY.
  • Says FX intervention comes under the MoF's jurisdiction, not the BoJ.
  • Market participants paying attention to interest rate differentials.
  • Weak JPY is not just due to rate differentials.
  • Must be vigilant to financial, FX market moves and its impact on economy and prices.
  • Rapid yen moves makes it difficult for companies to set business plans.
  • Yen weakness is negative for non-manufacturing copanies and SMEs.
  • Notes that the JPY is not alone in recent weakening, cites GBP and EUR which are both weaker vs the USD.
  • Says he will not comment on the FX outlook; monpol not meant to guide FX rates.
  • JPY weakening vs USD has had almost same impact as dollar-denominated raw material inflation.
  • Kuroda does not anticipate or expect any government request to tackle JPY weakening.

POLICY STANCE:

  • Will patiently continue powerful easing, appropriate to continue easing to support the recovery, as output gap remains negative
  • Will maintain accommodative conditions for companies.

QE

  • Bond buying is not aimed at monetising government debt.
  • Widening allowance band for 10yr yield target would hinder monetary easing effects.

INTEREST RATES:

  • BoJ will not raise rates for the time being, is not considering rate hikes.
  • Negative rates not having big impact on financial institutions.
  • BoJ is trying to limit the negative impact of negative rates on banks.
  • There is no need for the BoJ to abolish negative rates just to follow overseas central banks responding to higher inflation rates.

FORWARD GUIDANCE:

  • BoJ kept forward guidance unchanged as pandemic impact still in place, but must be vigilant going forward given downside risks to the economy.
  • BoJ does not rule out possibility of tweaking forward guidance in the future.
  • But there is no need to adjust guidance presently.
  • Does not see the need to change forward guidance for about 2-3 years.

INFLATION:

  • CPI wil undershoot 2% in next fiscal year.
  • Weak JPY, existing raw material inflation, pushing up consumer prices.
  • Expects Winter bonuses and next Spring's wage negotiations to bring higher incomes.
  • BoJ is closely watching the impact of rising prices on households.
  • Japan prices are likely to overshoot BoJ's previous price outlook for this year, but will most likely undershoot next year.
  • Wages are rising gradually, reflecting recovery in economy.
  • Expects wage growth to accelerate beyond next fiscal year due to tight labour supply.
  • Says it is regretable that "% inflation goal has not be stably and sustainably met.

ECONOMY:

  • Domestic economy is picking up.
  • Notes financing conditions for small companies is improving.
  • Notes GDP growth not yet at pre-pandemic levels, Japan still on path towards recovery.
  • After he Fed rate hike, BoJ does not see the need to lower Japan's growth projections.
Published: 09 / 22 / 2022 / 06:34Updated: 01 / 06 / 2024 / 13:18