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BoE Chief Economist Pill says there is still some work to do on the persistence of inflation; not unreasonable to believe that over the summer, the BoE will see enough confidence to consider rate cuts

Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionBoE
  • BoE is making good progress on returning inflation to target.
  • Labour market remains "pretty tight" by historical standards.
  • Pay growth data is consistent with a small decline in Q1.
  • Rates of pay growth remain quite well above what would be consistent with meeting the 2% inflation target on a sustainable basis.
  • Need to keep a restrictive stance on monetary policy that continues to bear down on domestic inflation persistence.
  • Not unreasonable to believe that over the summer, the BoE will see enough confidence to consider rate cuts; could cut and keep the stance restrictive.
  • Question of when and how restriction is eased.
  • Risk is loosening policy restriction too soon. 
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