BoE Chief Economist Pill says there is still some work to do on the persistence of inflation; not unreasonable to believe that over the summer, the BoE will see enough confidence to consider rate cuts
Important
SourceNewsquawk
SectionBoE
- BoE is making good progress on returning inflation to target.
- Labour market remains "pretty tight" by historical standards.
- Pay growth data is consistent with a small decline in Q1.
- Rates of pay growth remain quite well above what would be consistent with meeting the 2% inflation target on a sustainable basis.
- Need to keep a restrictive stance on monetary policy that continues to bear down on domestic inflation persistence.
- Not unreasonable to believe that over the summer, the BoE will see enough confidence to consider rate cuts; could cut and keep the stance restrictive.
- Question of when and how restriction is eased.
- Risk is loosening policy restriction too soon.