Newsquawk

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  • US lawmakers face a deadline of September 30th to pass a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown. Members of the Senate are not scheduled to return to Washington until September 29th, and House lawmakers are not due to return until October 7th, according to NBC.
  • European and US equity futures are broadly lower; ASML +2.5% boosted after a broker upgrade.
  • USD trims post-FOMC upside ahead of a slew of Fed speak; GBP and EUR leads.
  • Fixed...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed after Chinese markets failed to benefit from the phone call between US President Trump and Chinese President Xi on Friday, with some citing a lack of concrete progress.
  • US lawmakers face a deadline of September 30th to pass a funding bill to avoid a government shutdown. Members of the Senate are not scheduled to return to Washington until September 29th, and House lawmakers are not due to return until October 7th, according to NBC.
  • Estonia...
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  • MON: PBoC LPR, EZ Consumer Confidence Flash (Sep)
  • TUE: Riksbank Announcement, EZ/UK/US Flash PMIs (Sep)
  • WED: CNB Announcement, Australian CPI (Aug), German Ifo Survey (Sep)
  • THU: SNB Announcement, Banxico Announcement, BoJ Minutes, PBoC MLF, German GfK Consumer Sentiment (Oct), US Durable Goods (Aug), US GDP (Q2), US PCE (Q2)
  • FRI: Japanese Tokyo CPI (Sep), US PCE (Aug), US University of Michigan Final...
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  • BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50%, as expected, but surprised markets with the announcement to begin selling ETF and J-REIT holdings.
  • European bourses are mostly higher whilst US equity futures are flat.
  • USD extends its winning streak, GBP underperforms and is pressured by woeful borrowing data, which puts added pressure on UK Chancellor Reeves.
  • USTs are slightly lower awaiting Fed speak, JGBs hit on the BoJ, Gilts lag after concerning...
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  • BoJ kept rates unchanged at 0.50%, as expected, but surprised markets with the announcement to begin selling ETF and J-REIT holdings.
  • US President Trump said he will be harsh if he has to ask Russian President Putin for a ceasefire, but it doesn't feel like the time to do so.
  • US President Trump reportedly seeks to speed up large power projects to meet AI demand.
  • APAC stocks traded mixed as the region only partially sustained the...
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  • European bourses are stronger today and trade just off highs; US equity futures also gain, with modest outperformance in the RTY.
  • China drops Google (GOOG) antitrust probe during US trade talks, according to FT
  • DXY trims some post-FOMC gains this morning; NZD plumbs the depths on GDP.
  • Bonds are mixed in the aftermath of the FOMC; Gilts await the BoE.
  • Crude is subdued and precious metals hold an upward...
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  • Fed cut rates by 25bps to 4.00-4.25%, as expected, citing a shift in risk balance. Bowman and Waller joined consensus, calling for a 25bps reduction; new Governor Miran dissented, preferring a 50bps cut.
  • Nine of the 19 Fed officials see two additional cuts in 2025, two see one cut, and six see no more reductions.
  • Fed Chair Powell said he doesn't feel the need to move quickly on rates, and that “you could think of the cut as a risk management cut”, and that decisions...
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  • White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.
  • European bourses are mixed; NQ saw fleeting pressure on reports that China ordered tech firms to stop buying NVIDIA’s AI chips; NVIDIA -0.9% pre-market.
  • USD is a touch firmer as markets brace for today's FOMC announcement
  • NVIDIA pressure lifts fixed income to highs pre-FOMC, Gilts outperform after the...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed with global risk sentiment cautious ahead of the crucial FOMC policy decision.
  • White House said it was further extending the TikTok enforcement delay, with the deadline to sell TikTok extended until December 16th.
  • European equity futures indicate a positive cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50 future up 0.3% after the cash market closed with losses of 1.3% on Tuesday.
  • DXY is flat after yesterday's selling pressure....
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  • US Appeals Court declined to allow Trump to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook; Cook can attend the FOMC's September 16th-17th meeting.
  • US Senate voted 48-47 to confirm US President Trump's Fed nominee Miran to join the Fed board.
  • European bourses opened flat but sentiment dipped a touch to display a mostly negative picture; US equity futures are modestly firmer; NVDA little moved on reports of “lukewarm” demand for its RTX6000D AI...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed amid some cautiousness ahead of upcoming risk events and despite the fresh record levels on Wall St.
  • US Appeals Court declined to allow Trump to remove Federal Reserve Governor Cook; Cook can attend the FOMC's September 16th-17th meeting.
  • US Senate voted 48-47 to confirm US President Trump's Fed nominee Miran to join the Fed board.
  • European equity futures indicate an uneventful cash market open with Euro Stoxx 50...
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  • US and China day two talks are underway; overnight, FT reported that there has been a lack of progress, potentially reducing the odds of a Beijing summit. Recently, US Treasury Secretary Bessent said the US and China made good progress on technical details.
  • Crude benchmarks are higher amid a softer USD and after President Trump said he is ready to impose sanctions on Russia, once NATO stops buying Russian oil. Most recently, Russia's Kremlin says NATO is fighting...
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  • APAC stocks traded mixed, with the region somewhat cautious as participants digested disappointing Chinese activity data.
  • The lack of progress in US talks with China on tariffs and fentanyl is said to have reduced the chances of a Beijing summit, according to the FT.
  • Fitch cut France’s sovereign rating from AA- to A+; Outlook Revised to Stable from Negative; OATs -11 ticks.
  • European equity futures indicate a slightly...
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  • MON: Chinese Activity Data (Aug)
  • TUE: UK Jobs Report (Jul), Italian CPI Final (Aug), EZ Industrial Production (Jul), German ZEW Survey (Sep), US Retail Sales (Aug) and Industrial Production (Aug), Canadian CPI (Aug)
  • WED: FOMC Announcement, BoC Announcement, BCB Announcement, Bank of Indonesia Announcement, ECB Wage Tracker, UK Inflation (Aug), EZ CPI Final (Aug), New Zealand GDP (Q2)
  • THU: BoE Announcement, Norges Bank Announcement,...
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  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.
  • US equity futures are lower across the board, RTY lags. European bourses began marginally firmer, but have since waned.
  • USD attempts to recover from the pressure seen on Thursday's data, DXY at highs, while the JPY...
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  • US Treasury Secretary Bessent will meet with Chinese Vice Premier He and other senior Chinese officials next week in Madrid, while Bessent and He are to discuss key US-China national security, economic and trade issues.
  • US President Trump's administration asked the US appeals court to pause a ruling that blocked the removal of Fed's Cook.
  • ECB rate cut debate is said to not be over, but October is seen as too soon, and the next real discussion is more likely in...
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  • European bourses are modestly firmer, whilst US equity futures are mixed ahead of the ECB and US CPI.
  • DXY is firmer and towards session highs; JPY underperforms, with USD/JPY rising to just shy of the 148.00 mark.
  • USTs and Bunds are a touch softer into ECB/US CPI and a 30-year auction following a strong 3- and 10-year outing earlier this week.
  • Industrial commodities and gold are subdued, awaiting key risk events; some modest upticks seen on...
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  • APAC stocks followed suit to the mixed performance stateside, where the S&P 500 and Nasdaq printed fresh record highs.
  • US President Trump's administration appealed the court ruling blocking the removal of Fed Governor Cook.
  • US Senate Republicans are aiming to confirm President Trump’s temporary Federal Reserve pick Stephen Miran as soon as Monday, according to Politico, citing two sources
  • EU is reportedly very unlikely to impose...
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  • Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'. Polish PM Tusk says Poland asked to evoke Article 4 of NATO treaty.
  • US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.
  • US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor...
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  • Poland said its airspace was repeatedly violated by drones during today's attack by Russia on Ukraine; Poland shot down Russian drones after 'unprecedented airspace violation'.
  • US President Trump reportedly asked the EU to hit China and India with 100% tariffs to pressure Russian President Putin to end the war.
  • US judge temporarily blocked President Trump from removing Federal Reserve Governor Cook.
  • French President Macron appointed...
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  • Global equity futures are modestly mixed; Anglo American & Teck merge to create a USD 50bln mining giant.
  • USD is a little lower whilst JPY soars amid hawkish BoJ reports.
  • OAT-Bund 10yr spread a little wider in the aftermath of French PM Bayrou’s removal, JGBs hit by BoJ sources.
  • BoJ reportedly sees some chance of hiking this year, despite the political situation, via Bloomberg citing sources; likely to keep rates unchanged on September...
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  • French PM Bayrou lost the confidence vote in the National Assembly, as expected; French President Macron said he will name a new PM in the coming days.
  • UK Chancellor Reeves is to tell ministers to prioritise the fight against inflation in a Cabinet meeting today, according to FT.
  • US Senate Banking panel to vote on Miran's Fed nomination on September 10th, according to Bloomberg.
  • European equity futures indicate a marginally lower cash market...
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  • Japanese PM Ishiba said he has decided to resign as LDP president and gave instructions to hold an emergency LDP leadership election; LDP is making final arrangements for a leadership vote on October 4th, according to TBS.
  • US President Trump said Waller, Warsh and Hassett are the three finalists for the Fed chair nomination.
  • US-China trade talks have reportedly made little progress towards a deal, and an impasse was hit on the fentanyl issue, according to...
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  • Japanese PM Ishiba said he has decided to resign as LDP president and gave instructions to hold an emergency LDP leadership election; LDP is making final arrangements for a leadership vote on October 4th, according to TBS.
  • US President Trump said Waller, Warsh and Hassett are the three finalists for the Fed chair nomination.
  • US-China trade talks have reportedly made little progress towards a deal, and an impasse was hit on the fentanyl issue, according to...
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  • MON: Japanese GDP (Q2), German Industrial Output (Jul), EZ Sentix Index (Sep), US Employment Trends (Aug), Chinese Trade Balance (Aug), French no-confidence vote
  • TUE: UN General Assembly (Iran focus likely), Apple Event, BLS Prelim Benchmark Revisions
  • WED: Chinese Inflation (Aug), Swedish Monthly GDP (Jul), Norwegian CPI (Aug), US PPI (Aug)
  • THU: ECB Announcement, CBRT Announcement, Swedish CPIF (Aug), US CPI...
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